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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               LINCOLN CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jared Eton-Hogg        16    2   18     Gk Billy Lampard          15    2   17
Sw Owen Curtis            15    0   15     Sw Taylor Graham           9    2   11
Df Douglas Ribeiro        14    0   14     Df Tomaj Bodnár           15    2   17
Df Jay Thomson            10    0   10     Df Riley Russel           15    1   16
Df Max Foster              8   -2    6     Df Jeffrey Giles          12    1   13
Mf Emile De Vos           14   -1   13     Df Andy Whiteside          9    2   11
Mf Jed Honeybun            8    1    9     Mf Sean Hart              13    0   13
Fw Ignacio Martinez       15    0   15     Mf Ryan Lennon             9   -2    7
Fw Manuel Andrade         16    0   16     Fw Abe Austin             18   -2   16
Fw Brandon Lewis           8    2   10     Fw Simon Combe            12   -2   10
Fw Andrew O'Brien          4    2    6     Fw Ruslan Smirnov          9    1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 30 22 47        ROSTER TOTALS      17 11 57 20 36    
       3  2  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  4  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  6  1  0    
=======================================================================
      21 17 30 22 60         T O T A L S       17 11 63 21 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Jared Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 50.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.875% | Random number = 64.74 (no red card)

Sw Owen Curtis: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 28.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 11.55 (no red card)

Df Douglas Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 71.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 48.08 (no red card)

Df Jay Thomson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 87.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 0.34 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Jay Thomson new match skill level =  5
      Jay Thomson new match total level =  5

Df Max Foster: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 92.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 20.31 (no red card)

Mf Emile De Vos: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 54.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 8.68 (no red card)

Mf Jed Honeybun: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 90.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 47.01 (no red card)

Fw Ignacio Martinez: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 10.88 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 53.16 (no second yellow)

Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 63.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 30.19 (no red card)

Fw Brandon Lewis: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 23.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 7.79 (no red card)

Fw Andrew O'Brien: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 7.24 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 35.47 (no second yellow)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.03 (no red card)

Sw Taylor Graham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.12 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.45 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      Taylor Graham new match skill level =  5
      Taylor Graham new match total level =  7

Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.5 (no red card)

Df Riley Russel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.82 (no red card)

Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.81 (no red card)

Df Andy Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.08 (no red card)

Mf Sean Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.44 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.0 (no red card)

Fw Abe Austin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.43 (no red card)

Fw Simon Combe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.1 (no red card)

Fw Ruslan Smirnov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.04 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 5
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Jared Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 51.1 (no injury) 
Sw Owen Curtis: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 44.63 (no injury) 
Df Douglas Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 31.18 (no injury) 
Df Jay Thomson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 32.95 (no injury) 
Df Max Foster: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 91.24 (no injury) 
Mf Emile De Vos: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 89.68 (no injury) 
Mf Jed Honeybun: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 18.38 (no injury) 
Fw Ignacio Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 46.34 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 78.76 (no injury) 
Fw Brandon Lewis: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 79.43 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew O'Brien: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 53.63 (no injury) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 21.43 (no injury) 
Sw Taylor Graham: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 76.97 (no injury) 
Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 85.8 (no injury) 
Df Riley Russel: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 6.19 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Riley Russel is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Riley Russel new match skill level =  8
      Riley Russel new match total level =  9
Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 55.35 (no injury) 
Df Andy Whiteside: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 40.94 (no injury) 
Mf Sean Hart: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 89.83 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Lennon: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 80.73 (no injury) 
Fw Abe Austin: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 62.98 (no injury) 
Fw Simon Combe: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 33.43 (no injury) 
Fw Ruslan Smirnov: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 74.1 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Manuel Andrade SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Billy Lampard SL 15

     intRndPk = 26
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Abe Austin SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Jared Eton-Hogg SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             21  17  25  22  60
  Lincoln City FC          17   7  56  21  36

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 4 (60 - 56); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((22 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Jed Honeybun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ignacio Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Andrew O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Andrew O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Ignacio Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          17   7  56  21  36
  Port Vale FC             21  17  25  22  60

Lincoln City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 6 (36 - 25) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((56 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Ruslan Smirnov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ruslan Smirnov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Simon Combe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ruslan Smirnov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 0  -  LINCOLN CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Conservative tactics for a point on the road here. Good match, John.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 01/05 - 6:20 PM
 
 
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