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Watford
James Tucker
 
Sheffield United
Christer Kallin
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    SHEFFIELD UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ollie Baker            16    2   18     Gk Billy Robson           12    1   13
Sw Adam Wright            16    2   18     Sw Ryan Davidson           9    2   11
Df Peter Burns            15    1   16     Df Harvey Barrett         17    2   19
Df Max Beckham            11    0   11     Df Barry Neville          14    2   16
Fw Matty Williams         12    0   12     Df Sam Burns               9    2   11
Mf Devon Jackson          12    0   12     Mf Reece Coppell          14    2   16
Mf Wes Barmby              9    2   11     Mf Bailey Cockham          9    2   11
Fw Gregory Edwards        12   -2   10     Mf Patrick Banks           4    2    6
Fw Luís Silva             16   -1   15     Fw Hector  Valverde       13    2   15
Fw Fionn Quinn             9    2   11     Fw Daniel Owen            13    2   15
Fw Ibrahim Bennani         9    2   11     Fw Callum Palmer           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 27 23 59        ROSTER TOTALS      13 11 46 33 36    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 27 23 69         T O T A L S       13 11 46 33 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.72 (no red card)

Sw Adam Wright: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 16.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 49.44 (no red card)

Df Peter Burns: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 85.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 46.97 (no red card)

Df Max Beckham: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 94.12 (no second yellow)

Fw Matty Williams: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 70.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 61.24 (no red card)

Mf Devon Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 37.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 53.18 (no red card)

Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 30.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 74.61 (no red card)

Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 47.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 88.07 (no red card)

Fw Luís Silva: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 97.1 (no red card)

Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 64.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 20.48 (no red card)

Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 71.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 43.33 (no red card)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Robson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.79 (no red card)

Sw Ryan Davidson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.82 (no red card)

Df Harvey Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.15 (no red card)

Df Barry Neville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.05 (no second yellow)

Df Sam Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.46 (no red card)

Mf Reece Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.15 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.28 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.32 (no red card)

Fw Hector  Valverde: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.9 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.2 (no red card)

Fw Callum Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.45 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 36.18 (no injury) 
Sw Adam Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.84 (no injury) 
Df Peter Burns: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.52 (no injury) 
Df Max Beckham: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.32 (no injury) 
Fw Matty Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.11 (no injury) 
Mf Devon Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.76 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.25 (no injury) 
Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.43 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Silva: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.79 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.95 (no injury) 
Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.46 (no injury) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Billy Robson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 38.9 (no injury) 
Sw Ryan Davidson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.28 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.13 (no injury) 
Df Barry Neville: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.33 (no injury) 
Df Sam Burns: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.7 (no injury) 
Mf Reece Coppell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.15 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.57 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Banks: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.6 (no injury) 
Fw Hector  Valverde: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.75 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Owen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.33 (no injury) 
Fw Callum Palmer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.98 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luís Silva SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Billy Robson SL 12

     intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Barrett SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18  18  27  23  69
  Sheffield United         13  11  46  33  36

Watford Fw Attacks = 23 (69 - 46); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Matty Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 56.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 43.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Matty Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Matty Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 67.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Matty Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 66.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 12.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 96.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Matty Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sheffield United         13  11  46  33  36
  Watford                  18  18  27  23  69

Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 9 (36 - 27); result rounded up
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 5 ((33 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 69) / 3;  rounded up)
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Mf Reece Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Patrick Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Reece Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Patrick Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Patrick Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Hector  Valverde
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Daniel Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Daniel Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Hector  Valverde
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Daniel Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Hector  Valverde
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Hector  Valverde
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Hector  Valverde
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Daniel Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 16.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 1  -  SHEFFIELD UNITED 0
 
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