MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2 TMBL MSWL The Manager
Friday, October 19th, 2018 - 02:20:27 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① - Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats Tables Teams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(H)
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hugo Martins           13    2   15     Gk Luke Marshall           9    2   11
Sw Oscar Ford              8    2   10     Sw Gabriel Martin         15    1   16
Df Sean Tufnel            13    1   14     Df Thomas Charlton        14    1   15
Df Fabian Schmitz         11    2   13     Df Carl Berg               9    1   10
Df George Mason            7    2    9     Df Fernando  Rojas         9    0    9
Mf William Martin         13    2   15     Mf Martin Hunt            14    2   16
Mf Jonas Neuville         11    2   13     Mf Gaëtan Adam            14    1   15
Mf Shay  Lindsay           8    2   10     Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez       9    1   10
Fw Steven Milner          13    2   15     Fw Fernando Neves         18    1   19
Fw Luis Guerrero          15    2   17     Fw Victor Jensen          14    2   16
Fw Jamie Collins           9    2   11     Fw Erling Hauge           13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 10 36 38 43        ROSTER TOTALS      11 16 34 41 49    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 10 45 38 43         T O T A L S       11 16 34 41 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.92 (no red card)

Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.76 (no second yellow)

Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.02 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.61 (no red card)

Df George Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.81 (no red card)

Mf William Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.86 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.54 (no red card)

Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.9 (no red card)

Fw Steven Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.32 (no red card)

Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.3 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.25 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Luke Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.16 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.12 (no red card)

Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.47 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Thomas Charlton new match skill level =  7
      Thomas Charlton new match total level =  8

Df Carl Berg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.82 (no red card)

Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.56 (no red card)

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.83 (no red card)

Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.51 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.83 (no second yellow)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.66 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.79 (no red card)

Fw Erling Hauge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.22 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 31.67 (no injury) 
Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.35 (no injury) 
Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.41 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.25 (no injury) 
Df George Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.51 (no injury) 
Mf William Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.0 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.36 (no injury) 
Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.29 (no injury) 
Fw Steven Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.22 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.27 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.49 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Luke Marshall: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.83 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.68 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.0 (no injury) 
Df Carl Berg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.85 (no injury) 
Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.13 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.84 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.63 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.68 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.97 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.87 (no injury) 
Fw Erling Hauge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.14 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Guerrero SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Luke Marshall SL 9

     intRndPk = 100
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fernando Neves SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Hugo Martins SL 13

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         15  10  45  38  43
  Crewe Alexandra FC       11  16  27  41  49

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 16 (43 - 27); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((38 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 14.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 76.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 32.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 18.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 38.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 9.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       11  16  27  41  49
  Swansea City AFC         15  10  45  38  43

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 4 (49 - 45); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((41 - 38) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 53.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 99.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 1  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
 
Match Notes
 
 
Terms and Conditions