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Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE                       BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Lewis Alexander         9    2   11     Gk Titouan Raoul          14    2   16
Sw David Huber            15    0   15     Df Jaron  Biton           13    0   13
Df Finlay McAdam          13    2   15     Df Matthew Webster         6    2    8
Df Nico König              9    2   11     Df Joseph Carpenter       14    0   14
Mf Pedro Fernandes        15    0   15     Df Matteo Maggioni        13    2   15
Mf Liam Stevenson          9    2   11     Df Oliver Hills           10    2   12
Fw Niall Hayes            15    0   15     Df Gareth Chapman          9    2   11
Fw Bailey Ruddle          15    0   15     Mf Rafael  Torres         14    1   15
Fw Finley Wilkins         10    2   12     Mf Carrington Kennedy     13    1   14
Fw Darren Griffiths       10    2   12     Fw Aaron Allan            15    1   16
Fw Joe Santiago            9    2   11     Fw Ben Frings              9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 15 26 26 65        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 73 29 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 15 26 26 74         T O T A L S       16  0 73 29 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lewis Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.43 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.27 (no second yellow)

Sw David Huber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.7 (no red card)

Df Finlay McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.34 (no red card)

Df Nico König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.8 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.07 (no red card)

Mf Liam Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.4 (no red card)

Fw Niall Hayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.77 (no red card)

Fw Bailey Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.22 (no red card)

Fw Finley Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.79 (no red card)

Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.45 (no red card)

Fw Joe Santiago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.37 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.95 (no red card)

Df Jaron  Biton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.15 (no red card)

Df Matthew Webster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.29 (no red card)

Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.09 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.25 (no second yellow)

Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.79 (no red card)

Df Oliver Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.21 (no red card)

Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.32 (no red card)

Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.3 (no red card)

Mf Carrington Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.19 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.7 (no red card)

Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.0 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Lewis Alexander: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 6.63 (no injury) 
Sw David Huber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.42 (no injury) 
Df Finlay McAdam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.32 (no injury) 
Df Nico König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.08 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.56 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.06 (no injury) 
Fw Niall Hayes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.17 (no injury) 
Fw Bailey Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.0 (no injury) 
Fw Finley Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.68 (no injury) 
Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.52 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Santiago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.19 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 69.84 (no injury) 
Df Jaron  Biton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.42 (no injury) 
Df Matthew Webster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.49 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.87 (no injury) 
Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.84 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.01 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.83 (no injury) 
Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.01 (no injury) 
Mf Carrington Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.35 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.71 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.0 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Pedro Fernandes SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Titouan Raoul SL 14

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aaron Allan SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Lewis Alexander SL 9

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     11  15  26  26  74
  Bristol City FC          16   0  73  29  27

Bristol City FC is using Offside Trap!
Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 1 (74 - 73) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 27) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 68.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          16   0  73  29  27
  Dagenham & Redbridge     11  15  26  26  74

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 1 (27 - 26); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((29 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((73 - 74) / 5;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 62.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 0  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Basically, this could be our season. If we can somehow get a result here, it would propel us in to the top half of the table, and even get us within reach of a promotion slot. Lose, and it'll be a dud of a season. (And we could still get relegated.)
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 12/30 - 6:24 AM
Need a win here
Jeff (Dagenham & Redbridge) 01/04 - 11:07 AM
Got the draw we wanted. Unfortunately, all for nothing, as Olmec well and truly stuffed us in the other match.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 01/05 - 6:42 PM
 
 
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