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Hereford United FC
Mike Parnaby
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HEREFORD UNITED FC                         CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Damien Lefevre         15    2   17     Gk Henry Stone            16    1   17
Sw Peter Thompson          9    2   11     Sw Mohamed Gil            15    1   16
Df Joe St.Hubbins         13    2   15     Df William Gascoigne      13    2   15
Df Sebastian Clemence     12    2   14     Df Jacob Harewood          9    2   11
Mf Adam Byrne             12    2   14     Df Thomas Charlton         9    2   11
Mf Taylor Cook             9    2   11     Mf Stewart Lennon         12    2   14
Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg       15    2   17     Mf Marco Vedder            9   -2    7
Fw Leo Howells            15    2   17     Mf GaŽtan Adam             9    1   10
Fw Rodrigo Rojas          10    2   12     Fw Erling Hauge           13    2   15
Fw Louis Lamour            9    0    9     Fw Fernando Neves          9    2   11
Fw Roger Taylor            5    2    7     Fw Victor Jensen           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 11 29 25 62        ROSTER TOTALS      17 16 37 31 33    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  4  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 11 29 25 75         T O T A L S       17 16 37 31 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Damien Lefevre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.26 (no red card)

Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.69 (no red card)

Df Joe St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.85 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.07 (no red card)

Mf Adam Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.44 (no red card)

Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.09 (no red card)

Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.6 (no red card)

Fw Leo Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.2 (no red card)

Fw Rodrigo Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.17 (no red card)

Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.59 (no red card)

Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.35 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Henry Stone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.76 (no red card)

Sw Mohamed Gil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.82 (no red card)

Df William Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.49 (no red card)

Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.61 (no red card)

Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.87 (no red card)

Mf Stewart Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.67 (no red card)

Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.11 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.01 (no second yellow)

Mf GaŽtan Adam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.69 (no red card)

Fw Erling Hauge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.84 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.43 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.86 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Damien Lefevre: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 56.85 (no injury) 
Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.52 (no injury) 
Df Joe St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.56 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.03 (no injury) 
Mf Adam Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.08 (no injury) 
Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.32 (no injury) 
Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.04 (no injury) 
Fw Leo Howells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.22 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.33 (no injury) 
Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.67 (no injury) 
Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.3 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Henry Stone: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 15.85 (no injury) 
Sw Mohamed Gil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.83 (no injury) 
Df William Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.63 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.31 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.4 (no injury) 
Mf Stewart Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.48 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.39 (no injury) 
Mf GaŽtan Adam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.52 (no injury) 
Fw Erling Hauge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.82 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.53 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.28 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lucas Kjeldbjerg SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Henry Stone SL 16

     intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Gascoigne SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Damien Lefevre SL 15

     intRndPk = 49
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       17  11  29  25  75
  Crewe Alexandra FC       17  16  37  31  33

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 38 (75 - 37); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 38

1: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 90.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 2.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 42.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 18.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 28.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 38.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
34: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Rojas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       17  16  37  31  33
  Hereford United FC       17  11  29  25  75

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 4 (33 - 29); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((31 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 75) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf GaŽtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 97.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Marco Vedder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf GaŽtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 2.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HEREFORD UNITED FC 2  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2
 
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