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Southend United
Dave Dowson
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Harrison Bennett       12    2   14     Gk Luis Ángel Rodríguez   11    2   13
Sw Noe Morice             13    2   15     Df Zachary Whiteside      11    2   13
Df Geoffrey Jackson       12    2   14     Df Harrison Porter         9    2   11
Df Eduardo  Vargas        11    2   13     Df Cliff Palmer            5    2    7
Mf Giorgio Valentini       9    1   10     Mf Carleton Thomas        13    2   15
Mf Dominic Knight         11    2   13     Mf Algernon Pike           9    2   11
Fw Oren Yosef             14    2   16     Mf Sveinur Laursen         5    2    7
Fw Simon Forsberg         14    2   16     Mf Finlay Bennett         12    0   12
Fw Fionn Johnston         12    2   14     Fw Rodrigo Alves          11    2   13
Fw Finlay Neville          8    2   10     Fw Jules Baudet            9    2   11
Fw Filippo Costa           8    2   10     Fw Jake Shrimpton          9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 15 27 23 66        ROSTER TOTALS      13  0 31 45 35    
       4  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 16 27 25 73         T O T A L S       14  0 38 45 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 4

Gk Harrison Bennett: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 32.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 11.65 (no red card)

Sw Noe Morice: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 60.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 3.66 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Jackson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 34.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 61.06 (no red card)

Df Eduardo  Vargas: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 25.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 4.28 (no red card)

Mf Giorgio Valentini: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 37.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 85.95 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Knight: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 91.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 2.56 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Dominic Knight new match skill level =  6
      Dominic Knight new match total level =  8

Fw Oren Yosef: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 3.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 39.42 (no second yellow)

Fw Simon Forsberg: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 40.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 37.15 (no red card)

Fw Fionn Johnston: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 57.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 97.37 (no red card)

Fw Finlay Neville: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 53.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 22.51 (no red card)

Fw Filippo Costa: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 96.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 20.48 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Luis Ángel Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 26.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 13.37 (no red card)

Df Zachary Whiteside: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 83.92 (no red card)

Df Harrison Porter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 17.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 36.14 (no red card)

Df Cliff Palmer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 11.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 56.19 (no red card)

Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 9.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 81.07 (no red card)

Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 41.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 50.24 (no red card)

Mf Sveinur Laursen: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 77.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 12.36 (no red card)

Mf Finlay Bennett: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 8.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 5.34 (no red card)

Fw Rodrigo Alves: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 58.23 (no red card)

Fw Jules Baudet: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 65.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 74.37 (no red card)

Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 45.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 44.79 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Harrison Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 81.21 (no injury) 
Sw Noe Morice: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 69.92 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Jackson: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 57.07 (no injury) 
Df Eduardo  Vargas: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 35.99 (no injury) 
Mf Giorgio Valentini: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 57.37 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Knight: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 86.78 (no injury) 
Fw Oren Yosef: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 9.8 (no injury) 
Fw Simon Forsberg: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 9.66 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Johnston: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 21.53 (no injury) 
Fw Finlay Neville: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 9.75 (no injury) 
Fw Filippo Costa: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 84.83 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.25%
Gk Luis Ángel Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.33 (no injury) 
Df Zachary Whiteside: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 70.89 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Porter: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 51.09 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Palmer: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 82.14 (no injury) 
Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 46.63 (no injury) 
Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 62.5 (no injury) 
Mf Sveinur Laursen: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 50.25 (no injury) 
Mf Finlay Bennett: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 36.46 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo Alves: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 14.13 (no injury) 
Fw Jules Baudet: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 48.61 (no injury) 
Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 68.3 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oren Yosef SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Luis Ángel Rodríguez SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Carleton Thomas SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Harrison Bennett SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          18  16  27  20  73
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    14   0  38  45  35

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 18 (73 - 38) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Oren Yosef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 40.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 94.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Filippo Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 59.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Fionn Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Fionn Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Fionn Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 21.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Fionn Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Oren Yosef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Oren Yosef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 49.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Oren Yosef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Filippo Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    14   0  38  45  35
  Southend United          18  16  27  20  73

Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 4 (35 - 27) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 6 ((45 - 20) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 73) / 5;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Finlay Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Algernon Pike
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Finlay Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Carleton Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Algernon Pike
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Algernon Pike
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 54.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Jules Baudet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 19.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 1  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
 
Match Notes
primarily hoping to avoid too much damage from this encounter!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 09/28 - 11:51 AM
 
 
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