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Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEEDS UNITED                               WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert O'Neil          16    2   18     Gk Ollie Baker            16    2   18
Df Jakob Werner            6    2    8     Sw John MacDonald          8    2   10
Df Stephen King           12    2   14     Df Rafael Gomes           11    0   11
Df Gabin Michel            8    2   10     Df Max Beckham            11    0   11
Mf Semyon Popov           12    2   14     Df Derek Fox               9    1   10
Mf Fearghas Smith         12    2   14     Df Zachary Pastor          7    2    9
Mf Gerardo  Torres         8    2   10     Mf Ian Flinders           10    0   10
Mf Liam Åström             4    2    6     Mf Park Yáng               9    1   10
Mf Max Ahmed              12    2   14     Mf Wes Barmby              8    2   10
Fw Liam Fleming            9    2   11     Fw Gregory Edwards        12   -2   10
Fw Clifton Hart            8    2   10     Fw Ibrahim Bennani         9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 32 58 21        ROSTER TOTALS      18 10 41 30 21    
       0  0  0  1  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       1  0  0  1  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 32 69 23         T O T A L S       18 15 43 30 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.73 (no red card)

Df Jakob Werner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 61.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 75.36 (no red card)

Df Stephen King: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 24.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 12.2 (no red card)

Df Gabin Michel: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 86.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 83.24 (no red card)

Mf Semyon Popov: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 75.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 95.79 (no red card)

Mf Fearghas Smith: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 36.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 5.95 (no red card)

Mf Gerardo  Torres: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 10.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 79.87 (no second yellow)

Mf Liam Åström: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 33.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 99.33 (no red card)

Mf Max Ahmed: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 73.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 22.57 (no red card)

Fw Liam Fleming: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 99.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 83.73 (no red card)

Fw Clifton Hart: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 41.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 69.96 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.21 (no red card)

Sw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.74 (no red card)

Df Rafael Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.6 (no red card)

Df Max Beckham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.74 (no red card)

Df Derek Fox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.32 (no red card)

Df Zachary Pastor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.3 (no second yellow)

Mf Ian Flinders: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.15 (no red card)

Mf Park Yáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.97 (no red card)

Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.73 (no red card)

Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.09 (no red card)

Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.69 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 3
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Robert O'Neil: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 46.75 (no injury) 
Df Jakob Werner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.54 (no injury) 
Df Stephen King: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.13 (no injury) 
Df Gabin Michel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.51 (no injury) 
Mf Semyon Popov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.78 (no injury) 
Mf Fearghas Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.57 (no injury) 
Mf Gerardo  Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.55 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Åström: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.04 (no injury) 
Mf Max Ahmed: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.32 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Fleming: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.28 (no injury) 
Fw Clifton Hart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.7 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 21.8 (no injury) 
Sw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 0.94 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      John MacDonald is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      John MacDonald new match skill level =  4
      John MacDonald new match total level =  6
Df Rafael Gomes: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 8.63 (no injury) 
Df Max Beckham: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 91.39 (no injury) 
Df Derek Fox: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 43.05 (no injury) 
Df Zachary Pastor: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 82.31 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Flinders: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 21.95 (no injury) 
Mf Park Yáng: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 50.08 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 63.56 (no injury) 
Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 99.58 (no injury) 
Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 40.01 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Stephen King SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 16

     intRndPk = 3
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 35 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Gregory Edwards SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Robert O'Neil SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             19   0  32  69  23
  Watford                  18  11  43  30  21

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 43)
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 20 ((69 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Leeds United Df Attacks = 3 ((32 - 21) / 5); result rounded up
Leeds United Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Df Stephen King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Gabin Michel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Stephen King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Semyon Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Semyon Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Fearghas Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Fearghas Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 53.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Semyon Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Liam Åström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Semyon Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Fearghas Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Gerardo  Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 77.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Fearghas Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Fearghas Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Semyon Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Liam Åström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Mf Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Mf Gerardo  Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Mf Semyon Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 20.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Mf Gerardo  Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18  11  43  30  21
  Leeds United             19   0  32  69  23

Leeds United is using Offside Trap!
Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 32)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 69) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 4 ((43 - 23) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Zachary Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 90.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Rafael Gomes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Rafael Gomes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 1.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Derek Fox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEEDS UNITED 2  -  WATFORD 1
 
Match Notes
That time the luck favoured you Abe!
James (Watford) 05/12 - 8:07 PM
OST served us well this time James! Good game overall!
Abe (Leeds United) 05/15 - 7:03 AM
 
 
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