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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joseph Wheeler         14    2   16     Gk Warre Michiels         16    2   18
Sw Joseph Smalls          13    0   13     Sw Kwan  Jeon             15    2   17
Df Reece MacKay            7    1    8     Df Gregg Bunyan           13    2   15
Df Stewart Lester         12    1   13     Df Diego Mazza             9    1   10
Df Martin Giles            7    1    8     Mf Theo Fisher            11    2   13
Mf Mason Mitchell         12    0   12     Mf Matheo Lemaitre         9    2   11
Mf Isaac Ryan             11    2   13     Fw Carlton Mitchell       14    2   16
Mf Jakob Jacobsen          8    2   10     Fw Harvey Shepherd        13    1   14
Fw Ben Shepherd           15    1   16     Fw Dewei Zhou              9    2   11
Fw Antonio Ferri          13    0   13     Fw Alfie Marshall          9    2   11
Fw Nigel Carter            9    2   11     Fw Aarron Bunyan           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 13 29 35 40        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 25 24 58    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 13 38 35 40         T O T A L S       18 17 25 24 58    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.57 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.12 (no red card)

Df Reece MacKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.3 (no red card)

Df Stewart Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.27 (no red card)

Df Martin Giles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.85 (no red card)

Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.39 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.33 (no red card)

Mf Jakob Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.27 (no red card)

Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.71 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Ferri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.38 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.25 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.36 (no red card)

Sw Kwan  Jeon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.17 (no second yellow)

Df Gregg Bunyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.61 (no red card)

Df Diego Mazza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.86 (no red card)

Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.4 (no red card)

Mf Matheo Lemaitre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.28 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.38 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.67 (no red card)

Fw Dewei Zhou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.74 (no red card)

Fw Alfie Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.96 (no red card)

Fw Aarron Bunyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.29 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 76.86 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.46 (no injury) 
Df Reece MacKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.28 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Lester: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.81 (no injury) 
Df Martin Giles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.0 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.15 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.11 (no injury) 
Mf Jakob Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.13 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.78 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Ferri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.6 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.29 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 52.61 (no injury) 
Sw Kwan  Jeon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.61 (no injury) 
Df Gregg Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.34 (no injury) 
Df Diego Mazza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.53 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.71 (no injury) 
Mf Matheo Lemaitre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.84 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.58 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.22 (no injury) 
Fw Dewei Zhou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.84 (no injury) 
Fw Alfie Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.41 (no injury) 
Fw Aarron Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.12 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Shepherd SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Warre Michiels SL 16

     intRndPk = 54
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carlton Mitchell SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Joseph Wheeler SL 14

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        16  13  38  35  40
  Queens Park Rangers      18  17  25  24  58

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 15 (40 - 25); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 6 ((35 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 58) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Jakob Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Isaac Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Antonio Ferri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Antonio Ferri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Antonio Ferri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Antonio Ferri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Antonio Ferri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 28.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Antonio Ferri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18  17  25  24  58
  Nottingham Forest        16  13  38  35  40

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 20 (58 - 38); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Fw Alfie Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 35.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 20.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Alfie Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 59.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Alfie Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Aarron Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 32.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Dewei Zhou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Alfie Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Dewei Zhou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Alfie Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Aarron Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 0
 
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