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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jared Eton-Hogg        15    2   17     Gk Hugo Martins           12    2   14
Sw Owen Curtis             8    2   10     Sw Oscar Ford              8    2   10
Df Douglas Ribeiro        14    2   16     Df Sean Tufnel            12    1   13
Df Owen Coppell           12    2   14     Df Fabian Schmitz         10    2   12
Df Jay Thomson            12    0   12     Df Geoffrey Cross          9    1   10
Mf Ashley Edwards         11    2   13     Mf William Martin         13    2   15
Mf Leo Mason              10    2   12     Mf Jonas Neuville         11    2   13
Mf Jed Honeybun            4    2    6     Mf Douglas Carvalho       11    2   13
Fw Estevan  Ramírez       15    0   15     Fw Steven Milner          13    2   15
Fw Manuel Andrade         15    0   15     Fw Scott Murray           12    2   14
Fw Ignacio Martinez        9    2   11     Fw Luis Guerrero          15    2   17

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 10 42 31 41        ROSTER TOTALS      14 10 35 41 46    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  6  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 10 42 31 56         T O T A L S       14 10 35 41 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jared Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.22 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Jared Eton-Hogg new match skill level =  8
      Jared Eton-Hogg new match total level =  10

Sw Owen Curtis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.23 (no red card)

Df Douglas Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.42 (no red card)

Df Owen Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.67 (no red card)

Df Jay Thomson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.73 (no red card)

Mf Ashley Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.56 (no red card)

Mf Leo Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.44 (no red card)

Mf Jed Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.67 (no red card)

Fw Estevan  Ramírez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.33 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.56 (no red card)

Fw Ignacio Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.13 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.25 (no second yellow)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.38 (no red card)

Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.21 (no red card)

Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.25 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.89 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Cross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.27 (no red card)

Mf William Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.15 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.96 (no red card)

Mf Douglas Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.59 (no red card)

Fw Steven Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.96 (no red card)

Fw Scott Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.79 (no red card)

Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.95 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jared Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 92.08 (no injury) 
Sw Owen Curtis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.8 (no injury) 
Df Douglas Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.26 (no injury) 
Df Owen Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.3 (no injury) 
Df Jay Thomson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.7 (no injury) 
Mf Ashley Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.95 (no injury) 
Mf Leo Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.27 (no injury) 
Mf Jed Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.4 (no injury) 
Fw Estevan  Ramírez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.84 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.9 (no injury) 
Fw Ignacio Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.94 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 64.82 (no injury) 
Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.85 (no injury) 
Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.12 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.2 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Cross: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.31 (no injury) 
Mf William Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.56 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.84 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.0 (no injury) 
Fw Steven Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.85 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.46 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.07 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Estevan  Ramírez SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Hugo Martins SL 12

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Guerrero SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jared Eton-Hogg SL 8

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             10  10  42  31  56
  Swansea City AFC         14  10  35  41  46

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 21 (56 - 35); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 1.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ignacio Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Ignacio Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ignacio Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 14.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ignacio Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 4.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 57.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         14  10  35  41  46
  Port Vale FC             10  10  42  31  56

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 4 (46 - 42); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 5 ((41 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 8.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Scott Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Scott Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 5.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 0  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
 
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