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Friday, May 25th, 2018 - 04:49:28 PM (gmt)
 
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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Laurence James         12    2   14     Gk Titouan Raoul           4    2    6
Sw Oscar Ford             11    2   13     Df Jaron  Biton            6    2    8
Df Geoffrey Cross         12    2   14     Df Oliver Hills           13    0   13
Df Sean Tufnel            11    2   13     Df Matteo Maggioni         8    2   10
Df Kristian Hagen          8    2   10     Df Joseph Carpenter        4    1    5
Mf Douglas Carvalho       13    2   15     Mf Joe Hopkins            14    2   16
Mf Ben Neuville           15    2   17     Mf Alistair Barnes         8    2   10
Mf Jonas Neuville          7    2    9     Mf Rafael  Torres          4    2    6
Fw Luis Guerrero          15    2   17     Fw Lennon Stewart         15    2   17
Fw Scott Murray           12    2   14     Fw Aaron Allan             8    2   10
Fw Steven Milner           7    2    9     Fw Mason Singh             4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 13 37 41 40        ROSTER TOTALS       6  0 36 32 33    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      14 13 37 41 49         T O T A L S        6  0 36 39 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Laurence James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.53 (no second yellow)

Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.69 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Cross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.35 (no red card)

Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.98 (no red card)

Df Kristian Hagen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.8 (no red card)

Mf Douglas Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.38 (no red card)

Mf Ben Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.11 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.51 (no red card)

Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.47 (no red card)

Fw Scott Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.72 (no red card)

Fw Steven Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.92 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.33 (no second yellow)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.84 (no red card)

Df Jaron  Biton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.05 (no red card)

Df Oliver Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.96 (no red card)

Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.97 (no red card)

Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.12 (no red card)

Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.78 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.52 (no red card)

Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.34 (no red card)

Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.89 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.63 (no red card)

Fw Mason Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.64 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Laurence James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 45.69 (no injury) 
Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.61 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Cross: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.14 (no injury) 
Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.35 (no injury) 
Df Kristian Hagen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.52 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.73 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.6 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.06 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.28 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.88 (no injury) 
Fw Steven Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.36 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 9.94 (no injury) 
Df Jaron  Biton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.74 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.31 (no injury) 
Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.65 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.15 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.48 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.55 (no injury) 
Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.64 (no injury) 
Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.82 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.3 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Singh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.29 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Neuville SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Titouan Raoul SL 4

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lennon Stewart SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Laurence James SL 12

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         14  13  37  41  49
  Bristol City FC          6   0  36  39  33

Bristol City FC is using Offside Trap!
Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 7 (49 - 36) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((41 - 39) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((37 - 33) / 3); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Sean Tufnel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 68.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Kristian Hagen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 19.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 46.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 89.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Scott Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Scott Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 69.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Scott Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 10.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 73.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          6   0  36  39  33
  Swansea City AFC         14  13  37  41  49

Bristol City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 37)
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((39 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 49) / 5;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 4  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Anything less than a win makes us candidates for relegation. Swansea can get out of danger a wee bit if they win. Oh what joy!
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 05/11 - 3:44 PM
 
 
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