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Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Nolan            9    2   11     Gk Joe Berry              15    2   17
Df Thomas Murray          17    0   17     Sw Harry Johnson          14    2   16
Df Susumu Takahashi       14    0   14     Df Agustin Giménez        13    1   14
Df Harvey Charlton         8    2   10     Df Eli Chadad              8    2   10
Mf Greg Pastor            17    0   17     Df Harley Rees             4    2    6
Mf João DaSilva           14    0   14     Mf Alfie Dowson           14    1   15
Mf Reece Curtis            8    2   10     Mf Finley Richards         8    2   10
Mf Mason James             4    2    6     Mf Reuben Carroll          4    2    6
Fw Leo Smith              14    0   14     Fw Carleton James         13    2   15
Fw Carl Henriksson        12    0   12     Fw Ronan Murray           12    2   14
Fw Ellis Hunter            9    2   11     Fw Mason Stewart           8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  0 41 47 37        ROSTER TOTALS      17 16 30 31 39    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  6    
       0  0  3  3  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  0 45 50 40         T O T A L S       17 16 30 31 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Nolan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.78 (no red card)

Df Thomas Murray: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 35.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 33.25 (no red card)

Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 98.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 31.55 (no red card)

Df Harvey Charlton: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 9.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 42.49 (no red card)

Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 39.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 54.16 (no red card)

Mf João DaSilva: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 82.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 15.13 (no red card)

Mf Reece Curtis: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 73.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 44.66 (no red card)

Mf Mason James: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 70.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 79.19 (no red card)

Fw Leo Smith: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 11.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 3.16 (no red card)

Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 58.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 98.68 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Hunter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 88.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 65.57 (no red card)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joe Berry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.52 (no red card)

Sw Harry Johnson: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 80.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 19.78 (no red card)

Df Agustin Giménez: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 28.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 80.6 (no red card)

Df Eli Chadad: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 11.31 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 50.17 (no second yellow)

Df Harley Rees: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 6.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 76.42 (no second yellow)

Mf Alfie Dowson: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 83.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 34.43 (no red card)

Mf Finley Richards: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 87.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 84.24 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Carroll: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 66.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 1.33 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Reuben Carroll new match skill level =  2
      Reuben Carroll new match total level =  4

Fw Carleton James: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 83.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 50.35 (no red card)

Fw Ronan Murray: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 99.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 42.44 (no red card)

Fw Mason Stewart: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 86.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 81.02 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.62%
Gk Robert Nolan: Chance of injury = 3.62% | Random number = 3.78 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Murray: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 19.48 (no injury) 
Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 45.04 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Charlton: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 70.11 (no injury) 
Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 84.58 (no injury) 
Mf João DaSilva: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 83.21 (no injury) 
Mf Reece Curtis: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 27.1 (no injury) 
Mf Mason James: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 82.75 (no injury) 
Fw Leo Smith: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 21.15 (no injury) 
Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 43.59 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Hunter: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 82.79 (no injury) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 6
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Joe Berry: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 50.39 (no injury) 
Sw Harry Johnson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 20.35 (no injury) 
Df Agustin Giménez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 78.46 (no injury) 
Df Eli Chadad: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 75.49 (no injury) 
Df Harley Rees: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 89.26 (no injury) 
Mf Alfie Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 45.87 (no injury) 
Mf Finley Richards: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 95.58 (no injury) 
Mf Reuben Carroll: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 24.91 (no injury) 
Fw Carleton James: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 84.1 (no injury) 
Fw Ronan Murray: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 83.2 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Stewart: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 20.02 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Murray SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Joe Berry SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 88 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alfie Dowson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Robert Nolan SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      11   0  45  50  40
  Northampton Town FC      17  16  30  29  50

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 10 (40 - 30); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 11 ((50 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 50) / 5;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Reece Curtis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Mason James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Reece Curtis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Mason James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Reece Curtis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Reece Curtis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Mason James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Leo Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ellis Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Leo Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Leo Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 7.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 37.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Ellis Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Leo Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Ellis Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Ellis Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      17  16  30  29  50
  Oldham Athletic AFC      11   0  45  50  40

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 5 (50 - 45); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Fw Carleton James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Carleton James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 36.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Mason Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 19.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Ronan Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 57.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Carleton James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 19.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Ouch offside trap again
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 12/29 - 6:41 PM
Gutted the hardness cost us a point
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 12/29 - 6:41 PM
 
 
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