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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Rhys Murray            15    2   17     Gk Ollie Baker            16    2   18
Sw Michael Lampard        15    2   17     Sw Adam Wright            16    2   18
Df Harry O'Neil           14    2   16     Df Peter Burns            15    1   16
Df Glen Birks             12    2   14     Df Rafael Gomes           11    0   11
Df James Milner           12    0   12     Fw Matty Williams         11    0   11
Mf Arthur Collins         12    1   13     Mf Devon Jackson          12    0   12
Mf Connor Black            8    1    9     Mf Ian Flinders           10    0   10
Fw Christopher Collins    17    2   19     Fw Thomas Fergusen        12    2   14
Fw Henry Stephens         12    2   14     Fw Gregory Edwards        12   -2   10
Fw Vincenzo Lombardo      10    2   12     Fw Luís Silva             16    0   16
Fw Christopher Aitken      8    2   10     Fw Ibrahim Bennani         9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 17 42 22 55        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 27 22 62    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 17 42 22 64         T O T A L S       18 18 27 22 63    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.92 (no red card)

Sw Michael Lampard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.27 (no red card)

Df Harry O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.84 (no red card)

Df Glen Birks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.47 (no red card)

Df James Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.64 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.44 (no red card)

Mf Connor Black: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.36 (no red card)

Fw Christopher Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.46 (no red card)

Fw Henry Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.2 (no red card)

Fw Vincenzo Lombardo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.15 (no red card)

Fw Christopher Aitken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.29 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.51 (no red card)

Sw Adam Wright: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 84.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 5.0 (no red card)

Df Peter Burns: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 98.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 40.29 (no red card)

Df Rafael Gomes: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 3.1 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 95.8 (no second yellow)

Fw Matty Williams: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 9.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 86.13 (no red card)

Mf Devon Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 64.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 48.6 (no red card)

Mf Ian Flinders: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 53.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 3.89 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 13.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 0.94 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Thomas Fergusen new match skill level =  6
      Thomas Fergusen new match total level =  8

Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 92.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 44.11 (no red card)

Fw Luís Silva: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 95.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 36.43 (no red card)

Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 81.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 23.84 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 68.06 (no injury) 
Sw Michael Lampard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.49 (no injury) 
Df Harry O'Neil: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.4 (no injury) 
Df Glen Birks: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.11 (no injury) 
Df James Milner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.97 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Collins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.62 (no injury) 
Mf Connor Black: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.07 (no injury) 
Fw Christopher Collins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.88 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Stephens: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.15 (no injury) 
Fw Vincenzo Lombardo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.57 (no injury) 
Fw Christopher Aitken: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.44 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 46.04 (no injury) 
Sw Adam Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.53 (no injury) 
Df Peter Burns: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.23 (no injury) 
Df Rafael Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.37 (no injury) 
Fw Matty Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.29 (no injury) 
Mf Devon Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.07 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Flinders: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.88 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.88 (no injury) 
Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.25 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Silva: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.47 (no injury) 
Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.6 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Christopher Collins SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luís Silva SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Rhys Murray SL 15

     intRndPk = 83
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          17  17  42  22  64
  Watford                  18  18  27  22  57

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 37 (64 - 27); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 37

1: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Christopher Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 44.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Henry Stephens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Henry Stephens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 56.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Henry Stephens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 82.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Henry Stephens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Christopher Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Henry Stephens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Christopher Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 6.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 65.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Christopher Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 24.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Christopher Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 98.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
28: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Henry Stephens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Henry Stephens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 61.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
36: Attack for Fw Henry Stephens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
37: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18  18  27  22  57
  Chesterfield FC          17  17  42  22  64

Watford Fw Attacks = 15 (57 - 42); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 64) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Matty Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 90.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 4  -  WATFORD 1
 
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