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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hugo Martins           12    2   14     Gk Joseph Wheeler         14    2   16
Df Fabian Schmitz         10    2   12     Sw Joseph Smalls          13    0   13
Df Geoffrey Cross          9    1   10     Df Stewart Lester         12    1   13
Df George Mason            7    2    9     Df Luca Boga               9    2   11
Df Jonas Zimmermann        6    2    8     Df Martin Giles            7    1    8
Mf William Martin         13    2   15     Mf Nigel Ruddle           16    1   17
Mf Shay  Lindsay           7    2    9     Mf Mason Mitchell         12    0   12
Fw Steven Milner          13    2   15     Mf Isaac Ryan             11    2   13
Fw Scott Murray           12    2   14     Fw Ben Shepherd           15    1   16
Fw Tommaso Bruno          11    2   13     Fw Antonio Ferri          13    0   13
Fw Jamie Collins           8    2   10     Fw Paul Drinkwater        16    0   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  0 39 24 52        ROSTER TOTALS      16 13 32 42 45    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 48 24 52         T O T A L S       16 13 32 42 45    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.87 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.91 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Cross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.4 (no red card)

Df George Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.49 (no red card)

Df Jonas Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.04 (no red card)

Mf William Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.07 (no red card)

Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.38 (no red card)

Fw Steven Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.53 (no red card)

Fw Scott Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.22 (no red card)

Fw Tommaso Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.95 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.8 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.66 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.49 (no red card)

Df Stewart Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.69 (no red card)

Df Luca Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.18 (no red card)

Df Martin Giles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.47 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.99 (no red card)

Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.42 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.24 (no red card)

Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.94 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Ferri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.36 (no red card)

Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.45 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 27.87 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.99 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Cross: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.91 (no injury) 
Df George Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.09 (no injury) 
Df Jonas Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.51 (no injury) 
Mf William Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.37 (no injury) 
Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.83 (no injury) 
Fw Steven Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.66 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.24 (no injury) 
Fw Tommaso Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.67 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.92 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.48 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.97 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Lester: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.38 (no injury) 
Df Luca Boga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.94 (no injury) 
Df Martin Giles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.51 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.27 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.49 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.94 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.86 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Ferri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.24 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.01 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Martin SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Joseph Wheeler SL 14

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nigel Ruddle SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Hugo Martins SL 12

     intRndPk = 3
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 32 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         14   0  48  24  52
  Nottingham Forest        16  13  32  42  45

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 20 (52 - 32); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((48 - 45) / 5); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df George Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 72.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 4.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Tommaso Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Tommaso Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Scott Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Scott Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Tommaso Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 78.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Scott Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Scott Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Scott Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Tommaso Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Scott Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Scott Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        16  13  32  42  45
  Swansea City AFC         14   0  48  24  52

Swansea City AFC is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (45 - 48)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 18 ((42 - 24) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 5.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Isaac Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 56.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Isaac Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 41.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 13.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Isaac Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 86.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 57.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Isaac Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 31.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 87.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 57.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Isaac Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 94.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 1  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 5
 
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