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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kieran Parker          10    2   12     Gk Billy Rooney            8    2   10
Sw Patrick Maguire        12    0   12     Sw Keith Dohm             15    2   17
Df Lewis Burns            10    2   12     Df Gary Becker            13    2   15
Df Andrew Smalls          10    2   12     Df Angelo Tosato          13    2   15
Df Ben Kahn                8    2   10     Df Samuel Bogaerts         8    2   10
Mf Mark Jankel            13   -1   12     Mf Douglas Rodrigues      13    2   15
Mf Gianluca Boga          12    0   12     Mf Finn Brown              8    2   10
Fw Jack Thompson          14    2   16     Fw Leon Stevens           13    2   15
Fw Freddie Akhtar         13    2   15     Fw Tobias Mayer           15   -1   14
Fw Thomas Hutchinson      12    1   13     Fw Bruce Morgan           10    1   11
Fw Mason Anderson          7    2    9     Fw Nigel Nicholson         8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 12 34 24 53        ROSTER TOTALS      10 17 40 25 50    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 12 34 24 62         T O T A L S       13 17 40 25 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kieran Parker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.08 (no red card)

Sw Patrick Maguire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.57 (no red card)

Df Lewis Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.63 (no red card)

Df Andrew Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.99 (no red card)

Df Ben Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.29 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Ben Kahn new match skill level =  4
      Ben Kahn new match total level =  6

Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.48 (no red card)

Mf Gianluca Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.99 (no red card)

Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.27 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Akhtar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.47 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Hutchinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.73 (no red card)

Fw Mason Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.31 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.02 (no red card)

Sw Keith Dohm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.79 (no red card)

Df Gary Becker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.72 (no red card)

Df Angelo Tosato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.13 (no red card)

Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.71 (no red card)

Mf Douglas Rodrigues: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.78 (no red card)

Mf Finn Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.8 (no red card)

Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.66 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Leon Stevens new match skill level =  7
      Leon Stevens new match total level =  9

Fw Tobias Mayer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.35 (no red card)

Fw Bruce Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.21 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.03 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kieran Parker: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.49 (no injury) 
Sw Patrick Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.59 (no injury) 
Df Lewis Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.04 (no injury) 
Df Andrew Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.44 (no injury) 
Df Ben Kahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.94 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.39 (no injury) 
Mf Gianluca Boga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.81 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.93 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Akhtar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.91 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Hutchinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.04 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.86 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 31.68 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Dohm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.81 (no injury) 
Df Gary Becker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.24 (no injury) 
Df Angelo Tosato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.15 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.75 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Rodrigues: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.26 (no injury) 
Mf Finn Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.41 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.23 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Mayer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.06 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Tobias Mayer is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Bruce Morgan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.63 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.34 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jack Thompson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Billy Rooney SL 8

     intRndPk = 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tobias Mayer SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kieran Parker SL 10

     intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       12  12  30  24  62
  Carlisle United          13  17  40  25  44

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 22 (62 - 40); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Thomas Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Mason Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Thomas Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Thomas Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Thomas Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Thomas Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 84.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 31.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Mason Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Mason Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Thomas Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Mason Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          13  17  40  25  44
  Plymouth Argyle FC       12  12  30  24  62

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 14 (44 - 30); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 62) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Douglas Rodrigues
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 65.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Tobias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 75.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Tobias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Tobias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Tobias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 14.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Tobias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 13.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Bruce Morgan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Tobias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Bruce Morgan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Tobias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Tobias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Bruce Morgan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Tobias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 13.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Bruce Morgan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1  -  CARLISLE UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
all the world agree again. Plymouth can not fail....
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/10 - 6:34 PM
We've been on a decent roll as of late. REALLY hope we can keep that going.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/13 - 4:42 PM
Whilst I take no pleasure in taking points from you personally, Rob, it's always a delight to disprove the doubters.
Dave (Carlisle United) 01/13 - 7:51 PM
Not the best start to the session...
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/13 - 8:31 PM
 
 
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