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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Sheffield United
Christer Kallin
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            SHEFFIELD UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Titouan Raoul          16    2   18     Gk Pablo Luna             13    2   15
Sw Jaron  Biton           15    1   16     Sw Ryan Davidson          13    1   14
Df Gareth Chapman         13    2   15     Df Robert Terry           15    1   16
Df Mark Dohm               8    2   10     Df Harvey Barrett         18    0   18
Df Stefan Albrechtsen      4    2    6     Df Justin Schwarz          9    2   11
Mf Jake Griffiths         12    2   14     Mf Graham Barry           14    1   15
Mf Victor Fernandes        8    2   10     Mf Harry Dunn              9    2   11
Mf Noah Muir               4    2    6     Mf Jaron  Peretz           4    0    4
Fw Ben Frings             13    1   14     Fw Rayan Laurent          15    2   17
Fw Lennard Fischer         8    2   10     Fw Jack Brennan            9    2   11
Fw Jay Oakes               4    2    6     Fw Rodrigo FernŠndez       4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 16 31 30 30        ROSTER TOTALS      15 14 45 30 34    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 16 31 39 30         T O T A L S       15 14 45 30 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.62 (no red card)

Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.2 (no red card)

Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.39 (no red card)

Df Mark Dohm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.92 (no red card)

Df Stefan Albrechtsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.38 (no red card)

Mf Jake Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.46 (no red card)

Mf Victor Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.49 (no second yellow)

Mf Noah Muir: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.42 (no red card)

Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.9 (no red card)

Fw Lennard Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.29 (no red card)

Fw Jay Oakes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.79 (no red card)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pablo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.51 (no red card)

Sw Ryan Davidson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.14 (no red card)

Df Robert Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.58 (no red card)

Df Harvey Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.08 (no red card)

Df Justin Schwarz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.38 (no red card)

Mf Graham Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.63 (no red card)

Mf Harry Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.85 (no red card)

Mf Jaron  Peretz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.4 (no red card)

Fw Rayan Laurent: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.42 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.51 (no second yellow)

Fw Jack Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.47 (no second yellow)

Fw Rodrigo FernŠndez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.3 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 42.52 (no injury) 
Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.98 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.06 (no injury) 
Df Mark Dohm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.9 (no injury) 
Df Stefan Albrechtsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.69 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.25 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.7 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Muir: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.24 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.16 (no injury) 
Fw Lennard Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.29 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Oakes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.93 (no injury) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Pablo Luna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 47.0 (no injury) 
Sw Ryan Davidson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.53 (no injury) 
Df Robert Terry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.67 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Barrett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.78 (no injury) 
Df Justin Schwarz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.48 (no injury) 
Mf Graham Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.99 (no injury) 
Mf Harry Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.07 (no injury) 
Mf Jaron  Peretz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.11 (no injury) 
Fw Rayan Laurent: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.11 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.7 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo FernŠndez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.57 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gareth Chapman SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Pablo Luna SL 13

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Barrett SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Titouan Raoul SL 16

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          18  16  31  39  30
  Sheffield United         15  14  45  30  34

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 45)
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((39 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 34) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Jake Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 40.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Victor Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Noah Muir
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Jake Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Victor Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sheffield United         15  14  45  30  34
  Bristol City FC          18  16  31  39  30

Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 3 (34 - 31); result rounded up
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 5 ((45 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Robert Terry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Harvey Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Justin Schwarz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Harvey Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Harvey Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jack Brennan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Rayan Laurent
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Rayan Laurent
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 0  -  SHEFFIELD UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
First of a double home game session. Need to win at least one!
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 04/11 - 5:43 AM
Sheffield better than their league position. In the end, good draw.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 04/13 - 6:45 PM
 
 
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