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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kian Trickelbank       13    2   15     Gk Juan Jose Blanco       12    2   14
Sw Finlay Harvey          13    2   15     Sw Sean Moore             15    1   16
Df Michele Testa          13    2   15     Df Aaron Sutherland       10    2   12
Df Alessio Costa          12    1   13     Df Namir  Katz             9    2   11
Df Harrison Porter        10    1   11     Df Emile Wright            6   -1    5
Mf Owen Marsh             13    1   14     Mf Louie Cook             13    1   14
Mf Carleton Thomas        11    2   13     Mf Jayden Campbell         8    2   10
Mf Sveinur Laursen         6    2    8     Fw Rafael Souza           14    2   16
Fw Artyom Morozov         16    1   17     Fw Luke White             17    2   19
Fw Finlay Bennett         12    2   14     Fw Mark Scott             13    2   15
Fw Jake Shrimpton         11    1   12     Fw Baron Bate              6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 15 39 35 43        ROSTER TOTALS      14 16 28 24 58    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 39 35 52         T O T A L S       14 16 28 24 58    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 85.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 40.53 (no red card)

Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 44.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 51.15 (no red card)

Df Michele Testa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 31.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 36.47 (no red card)

Df Alessio Costa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 58.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 92.4 (no red card)

Df Harrison Porter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 17.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 78.68 (no red card)

Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 71.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 46.98 (no red card)

Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 46.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 54.61 (no red card)

Mf Sveinur Laursen: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 38.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 0.56 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Sveinur Laursen new match skill level =  3
      Sveinur Laursen new match total level =  5

Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 54.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 30.58 (no red card)

Fw Finlay Bennett: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 31.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 27.17 (no red card)

Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.83 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 55.74 (no second yellow)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Juan Jose Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.44 (no red card)

Sw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.85 (no red card)

Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.12 (no red card)

Df Namir  Katz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.92 (no red card)

Df Emile Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.19 (no red card)

Mf Louie Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.5 (no red card)

Mf Jayden Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.4 (no red card)

Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.25 (no red card)

Fw Luke White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.17 (no red card)

Fw Mark Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.96 (no red card)

Fw Baron Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.55 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 38.77 (no injury) 
Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.71 (no injury) 
Df Michele Testa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.09 (no injury) 
Df Alessio Costa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.25 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Porter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.55 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.14 (no injury) 
Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.7 (no injury) 
Mf Sveinur Laursen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.06 (no injury) 
Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.19 (no injury) 
Fw Finlay Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.66 (no injury) 
Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.28 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Juan Jose Blanco: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 87.57 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.41 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.77 (no injury) 
Df Namir  Katz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.64 (no injury) 
Df Emile Wright: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.24 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Emile Wright is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Emile Wright new match skill level =  3
      Emile Wright new match total level =  2
Mf Louie Cook: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.05 (no injury) 
Mf Jayden Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.79 (no injury) 
Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.03 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Rafael Souza is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Rafael Souza new match skill level =  7
      Rafael Souza new match total level =  9
Fw Luke White: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.63 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Scott: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.65 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Mark Scott is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Baron Bate: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.48 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Artyom Morozov SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Juan Jose Blanco SL 12

     intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luke White SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16  15  39  32  52
  Preston North End FC     14  16  25  24  51

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 27 (52 - 25); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 4 ((32 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 92.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 14.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 61.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 53.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Finlay Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Finlay Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Finlay Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 10.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Finlay Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Finlay Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Finlay Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Finlay Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Finlay Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     14  16  25  24  51
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16  15  39  32  52

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 12 (51 - 39); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 39.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Baron Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 38.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Baron Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 92.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 1
 
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