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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Matías Abreu           16    2   18     Gk Valentin Antoine       12    2   14
Sw Zachary Johnson        14    1   15     Sw Sofiane Bellet          6    2    8
Df Saburo Fukuda          13    2   15     Df William Gascoigne      12    2   14
Df Percy Clapinson        12    1   13     Df Nigel Clarke           11    2   13
Df Tom Schmitz             9    1   10     Df Jacob Harewood          8    2   10
Mf Lee Hú                 12    1   13     Df Thomas Charlton         8    2   10
Mf Joshua Burke           11    1   12     Mf Dave Cooper            11    2   13
Mf Leo Allan              10    2   12     Mf Gaëtan Adam             8    1    9
Fw Ashton Matthews        14    0   14     Mf Marco Vedder            8   -2    6
Fw Bradley Woods          11    1   12     Fw Giles Hussain          10    2   12
Fw Oliver Duckworth        8    2   10     Fw Fernando Neves          8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 38 37 36        ROSTER TOTALS      14  8 47 28 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 15 38 37 45         T O T A L S       14 13 49 28 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Matías Abreu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.62 (no red card)

Sw Zachary Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.57 (no red card)

Df Saburo Fukuda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.46 (no red card)

Df Percy Clapinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.96 (no red card)

Df Tom Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.55 (no red card)

Mf Lee Hú: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.99 (no red card)

Mf Joshua Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.75 (no red card)

Mf Leo Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.5 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.1 (no second yellow)

Fw Ashton Matthews: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.0 (no red card)

Fw Bradley Woods: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.06 (no red card)

Fw Oliver Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.21 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Antoine: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.67 (no red card)

Sw Sofiane Bellet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.01 (no red card)

Df William Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.36 (no red card)

Df Nigel Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.42 (no red card)

Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.11 (no red card)

Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.27 (no red card)

Mf Dave Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.68 (no red card)

Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.19 (no red card)

Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.01 (no red card)

Fw Giles Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.48 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.32 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Matías Abreu: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 75.59 (no injury) 
Sw Zachary Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.74 (no injury) 
Df Saburo Fukuda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.4 (no injury) 
Df Percy Clapinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.69 (no injury) 
Df Tom Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.26 (no injury) 
Mf Lee Hú: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.87 (no injury) 
Mf Joshua Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.03 (no injury) 
Mf Leo Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.27 (no injury) 
Fw Ashton Matthews: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.95 (no injury) 
Fw Bradley Woods: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.68 (no injury) 
Fw Oliver Duckworth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.48 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Antoine: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.9 (no injury) 
Sw Sofiane Bellet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.0 (no injury) 
Df William Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.29 (no injury) 
Df Nigel Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.31 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.35 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.04 (no injury) 
Mf Dave Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.82 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.39 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.03 (no injury) 
Fw Giles Hussain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.79 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.94 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ashton Matthews SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Antoine SL 12

     intRndPk = 27
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Gascoigne SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Matías Abreu SL 16

     intRndPk = 85
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             18  15  38  37  45
  Crewe Alexandra FC       14  13  49  28  22

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (45 - 49)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((37 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 6 ((38 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Percy Clapinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Tom Schmitz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Percy Clapinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 23.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Percy Clapinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Saburo Fukuda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Saburo Fukuda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Leo Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 76.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Lee Hú
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Joshua Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Joshua Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 25.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Leo Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       14  13  49  28  22
  Brentford FC             18  15  38  37  45

Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 38)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 1 ((49 - 45) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Thomas Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 61.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 1  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
 
Match Notes
Happy to get a win today.
Allan (Brentford FC) 01/06 - 6:23 PM
 
 
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