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Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEEDS UNITED                               CARDIFF CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert O'Neil          16    2   18     Gk Gerry McDermott        14    2   16
Sw Jakob Werner            8    2   10     Sw Fabio Donati           11    2   13
Df Gabin Michel            8    2   10     Df Malte Lundberg         13    2   15
Df Davide Fontana         12    2   14     Df Lewis McBrayne         13    2   15
Mf Semyon Popov           11    2   13     Df Jed Jones               8    2   10
Mf Gerardo  Torres         8    2   10     Df Tyler Murray            6    2    8
Fw Max Ahmed              14    2   16     Mf Jack Norman            17    0   17
Fw Ryan Cameron           14    2   16     Mf David Robinet          13    1   14
Fw Liam Fleming            9    2   11     Mf Archie Thwaite         12    2   14
Fw Clifton Hart            8    2   10     Fw David Dowson           14    2   16
Fw Nigel Cox               4    2    6     Fw Jed Butler             13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 10 24 23 59        ROSTER TOTALS      16 13 48 45 30    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  1  1  0  2    
       0  0  2  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  4  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 10 30 23 66         T O T A L S       18 14 49 45 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Robert O'Neil: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 44.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 1.12 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Robert O'Neil new match skill level =  8
      Robert O'Neil new match total level =  10

Sw Jakob Werner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 26.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 12.85 (no red card)

Df Gabin Michel: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 95.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 39.95 (no red card)

Df Davide Fontana: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 6.26 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 36.45 (no second yellow)

Mf Semyon Popov: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 47.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 48.16 (no red card)

Mf Gerardo  Torres: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 56.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 11.29 (no red card)

Fw Max Ahmed: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 6.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 49.62 (no second yellow)

Fw Ryan Cameron: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 20.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 86.79 (no red card)

Fw Liam Fleming: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 96.51 (no red card)

Fw Clifton Hart: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 62.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 86.23 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Cox: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 43.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 23.95 (no red card)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Gerry McDermott: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 90.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 25.56 (no red card)

Sw Fabio Donati: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 60.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 34.73 (no red card)

Df Malte Lundberg: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 73.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 72.56 (no red card)

Df Lewis McBrayne: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 52.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 64.54 (no red card)

Df Jed Jones: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 96.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 55.83 (no red card)

Df Tyler Murray: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 23.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 14.09 (no red card)

Mf Jack Norman: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 38.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 7.74 (no red card)

Mf David Robinet: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 24.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 67.25 (no red card)

Mf Archie Thwaite: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 35.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 85.64 (no red card)

Fw David Dowson: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 72.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 34.86 (no red card)

Fw Jed Butler: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 12.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 33.26 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 2
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.75%
Gk Robert O'Neil: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 34.5 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Werner: Chance of injury = 7.5% | Random number = 10.78 (no injury) 
Df Gabin Michel: Chance of injury = 7.5% | Random number = 20.46 (no injury) 
Df Davide Fontana: Chance of injury = 7.5% | Random number = 12.07 (no injury) 
Mf Semyon Popov: Chance of injury = 7.5% | Random number = 76.44 (no injury) 
Mf Gerardo  Torres: Chance of injury = 7.5% | Random number = 0.46 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Gerardo  Torres is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Max Ahmed: Chance of injury = 7.5% | Random number = 69.97 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan Cameron: Chance of injury = 7.5% | Random number = 94.69 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Fleming: Chance of injury = 7.5% | Random number = 97.48 (no injury) 
Fw Clifton Hart: Chance of injury = 7.5% | Random number = 14.13 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Cox: Chance of injury = 7.5% | Random number = 95.97 (no injury) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 6
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Gerry McDermott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.76 (no injury) 
Sw Fabio Donati: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 6.81 (no injury) 
Df Malte Lundberg: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 12.5 (no injury) 
Df Lewis McBrayne: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 45.12 (no injury) 
Df Jed Jones: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 80.86 (no injury) 
Df Tyler Murray: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 37.99 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Norman: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 33.79 (no injury) 
Mf David Robinet: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 80.04 (no injury) 
Mf Archie Thwaite: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 54.93 (no injury) 
Fw David Dowson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 32.45 (no injury) 
Fw Jed Butler: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 80.72 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Max Ahmed SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Gerry McDermott SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 88 (pk blocked)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 80 (pk blocked)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jack Norman SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Robert O'Neil SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             12  10  30  23  66
  Cardiff City FC          18  14  49  45  32

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 17 (66 - 49); result rounded up
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Leeds United Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Fw Liam Fleming
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ryan Cameron
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Liam Fleming
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 86.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 56.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 53.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Ryan Cameron
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 98.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Nigel Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ryan Cameron
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          18  14  49  45  32
  Leeds United             12  10  30  23  66

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 2 (32 - 30); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((45 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf David Robinet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 85.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Jack Norman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf David Robinet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf David Robinet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 9.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Jack Norman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 65.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Jack Norman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Jack Norman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf David Robinet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 78.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf David Robinet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Jack Norman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Jack Norman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 64.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw David Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEEDS UNITED 2  -  CARDIFF CITY FC 2
 
Match Notes
We were robbed in this game... Oh well .. better luck next time...
Abe (Leeds United) 05/06 - 12:20 AM
 
 
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