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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Hereford United FC
Mike Parnaby
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Nigel Brides           14    2   16     Gk Damien Lefevre         15    2   17
Df Henry Baker            13    2   15     Sw Peter Thompson          8    2   10
Df Lewis Burns            10    2   12     Df Sebastian Clemence     12    1   13
Df Andrew Smalls          10    2   12     Df Joe St.Hubbins         11    2   13
Mf Mark Jankel            13    0   13     Df Erlend Andresen         8    2   10
Mf Daniel Milner          13    0   13     Df Sam Lester              4    2    6
Mf Gianluca Boga          12    0   12     Mf Eugenio Ledesma        13    1   14
Mf Colm Hays              10    0   10     Mf Taylor Cook             8    2   10
Mf Ryan Wright             8    2   10     Mf Rolando  HernŠndez      4    2    6
Fw Jack Thompson          13    2   15     Fw Leo Howells            15    1   16
Fw Freddie Akhtar         13    2   15     Fw Louis Lamour            8   -2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 39 58 30        ROSTER TOTALS      17 10 42 30 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  5  4  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 44 62 30         T O T A L S       17 10 49 30 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.73 (no red card)

Df Henry Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.67 (no red card)

Df Lewis Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.77 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.18 (no second yellow)

Df Andrew Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.22 (no red card)

Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.19 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.27 (no red card)

Mf Gianluca Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.2 (no red card)

Mf Colm Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.4 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.2 (no red card)

Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.48 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Akhtar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.83 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Damien Lefevre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.41 (no red card)

Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.96 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.25 (no red card)

Df Joe St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.89 (no red card)

Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.51 (no red card)

Df Sam Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.53 (no red card)

Mf Eugenio Ledesma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.46 (no second yellow)

Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.1 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Taylor Cook new match skill level =  4
      Taylor Cook new match total level =  6

Mf Rolando  HernŠndez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.09 (no red card)

Fw Leo Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.18 (no red card)

Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.01 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 90.93 (no injury) 
Df Henry Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.65 (no injury) 
Df Lewis Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.5 (no injury) 
Df Andrew Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.18 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.1 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Mark Jankel is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Mark Jankel new match skill level =  7
      Mark Jankel new match total level =  7
Mf Daniel Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.05 (no injury) 
Mf Gianluca Boga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.98 (no injury) 
Mf Colm Hays: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.72 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.84 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.37 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Akhtar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.57 (no injury) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Damien Lefevre: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 90.78 (no injury) 
Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.72 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.64 (no injury) 
Df Joe St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.63 (no injury) 
Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.65 (no injury) 
Df Sam Lester: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.2 (no injury) 
Mf Eugenio Ledesma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.57 (no injury) 
Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.61 (no injury) 
Mf Rolando  HernŠndez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.43 (no injury) 
Fw Leo Howells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.77 (no injury) 
Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.41 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Henry Baker SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Damien Lefevre SL 15

     intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Leo Howells SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Brides SL 14

     intRndPk = 54
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       16   0  44  56  30
  Hereford United FC       17  10  49  26  22

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 49)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 15 ((56 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 5 ((44 - 22) / 5); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Andrew Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Andrew Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Andrew Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Lewis Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Henry Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Colm Hays
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 41.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Colm Hays
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Gianluca Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Colm Hays
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 21.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Gianluca Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Gianluca Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Gianluca Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Gianluca Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Mf Gianluca Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 3.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       17  10  49  26  22
  Plymouth Argyle FC       16   0  44  56  30

Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap!
Hereford United FC is Playing For A Draw!
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 44)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 56) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 4 ((49 - 30) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Joe St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 43.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Joe St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 36.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Joe St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Joe St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 0
 
Match Notes
Suspensions and injuries, yay.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/06 - 4:59 PM
Wow. that was a lot tighter than the numbers would have suggested.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/11 - 6:20 PM
 
 
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