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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Noah Godart            15    2   17     Gk Nigel Brides           16    2   18
Sw Alejandro  Segura      14    1   15     Sw Tareq Akhrif            8    2   10
Df Oliver Hills           13   -1   12     Df Ben Kahn               14    2   16
Df Paul Brides            13    0   13     Df Henry Baker            13    0   13
Mf Joe Hopkins            13    1   14     Df Rory Smith             12    0   12
Mf Jermaine Hills         12    0   12     Mf Ryan Wright            13    2   15
Fw Lennon Stewart         14    2   16     Mf Simon Schmidt           8    2   10
Fw Greg Mason             15    1   16     Fw John Wilson            14    1   15
Fw Daniel Yitzchak        13    0   13     Fw Jack Thompson          14    0   14
Fw Liang X               10    2   12     Fw Freddie Akhtar         14    0   14
Fw Aaron Allan             8    2   10     Fw Connor Brakspear        9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 25 26 67        ROSTER TOTALS      18 10 41 25 54    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 34 26 67         T O T A L S       18 10 41 25 54    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Noah Godart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.21 (no red card)

Sw Alejandro  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.69 (no red card)

Df Oliver Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.89 (no red card)

Df Paul Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.7 (no red card)

Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.04 (no red card)

Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.71 (no red card)

Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.3 (no red card)

Fw Greg Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.23 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.73 (no red card)

Fw Liang X: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.27 (no second yellow)

Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.59 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.89 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.82 (no second yellow)

Sw Tareq Akhrif: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.63 (no red card)

Df Ben Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.53 (no red card)

Df Henry Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.49 (no red card)

Df Rory Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.4 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.08 (no red card)

Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.43 (no red card)

Fw John Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.81 (no red card)

Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.28 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Akhtar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.9 (no red card)

Fw Connor Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.66 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teams hardness * .25) + (opponents hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Noah Godart: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 67.55 (no injury) 
Sw Alejandro  Segura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.19 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.42 (no injury) 
Df Paul Brides: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.35 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.92 (no injury) 
Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.2 (no injury) 
Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.66 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.54 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.85 (no injury) 
Fw Liang X: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.55 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.92 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 68.65 (no injury) 
Sw Tareq Akhrif: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.88 (no injury) 
Df Ben Kahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.16 (no injury) 
Df Henry Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.6 (no injury) 
Df Rory Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.5 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.3 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.95 (no injury) 
Fw John Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.24 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.29 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Akhtar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.77 (no injury) 
Fw Connor Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Greg Mason SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Brides SL 16

     intRndPk = 100
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Kahn SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Noah Godart SL 15

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          17  15  34  26  67
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18  10  41  25  54

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 26 (67 - 41); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Liang X
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Liang X
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Liang X
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 49.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 44.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 12.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Liang X
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Liang X
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18  10  41  25  54
  Bristol City FC          17  15  34  26  67

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 20 (54 - 34); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 67) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 60.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 6.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 37.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 0  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Plymouth dangerously close to the wrong end of the table, so expecting a real fight.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 04/30 - 5:15 PM
Yes, Olmec really, really does not like us. Contrast and compare with the other matches this session. Damn!
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 05/06 - 3:17 AM
Nearly 50 attacks between the 2 teams, and no goals. At least I can be happy we didn't lose?
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 05/08 - 4:34 PM
 
 
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