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Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        PORT VALE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Nolan            8    2   10     Gk Jared Eton-Hogg        16    2   18
Df Thomas Murray          16    0   16     Sw Owen Curtis            15    2   17
Df Susumu Takahashi       14    0   14     Df Owen Coppell           13   -1   12
Df Sam Morrissey          12    0   12     Df Jay Thomson            10    0   10
Df Douglas Souza          12    0   12     Df Thomas Burgess          7    2    9
Mf Greg Pastor            16    0   16     Mf Jake Cooke             10    0   10
Mf Joćo DaSilva           14    0   14     Mf Ashley Edwards          7    2    9
Mf Reece Curtis            8    2   10     Fw Ignacio Martinez       14    0   14
Fw Leo Smith              14    0   14     Fw Estevan  Ramķrez       13    0   13
Fw Carl Henriksson        12    0   12     Fw Brandon Lewis           7    2    9
Fw Ellis Hunter            8    2   10     Fw Julian Guerrero         7    0    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  0 54 40 36        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 31 19 43    
       0  0  0  1  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  1  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  0 55 42 44         T O T A L S       18 17 38 19 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Nolan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.52 (no red card)

Df Thomas Murray: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 27.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 47.67 (no red card)

Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 39.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 57.12 (no red card)

Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 32.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 13.93 (no red card)

Df Douglas Souza: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 24.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 19.04 (no red card)

Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 32.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 40.42 (no red card)

Mf Joćo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 34.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 41.27 (no red card)

Mf Reece Curtis: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 66.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 6.13 (no red card)

Fw Leo Smith: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 40.31 (no red card)

Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 83.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 17.22 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Hunter: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 7.11 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 55.7 (no second yellow)

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jared Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.12 (no red card)

Sw Owen Curtis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.45 (no red card)

Df Owen Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.61 (no red card)

Df Jay Thomson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.82 (no red card)

Df Thomas Burgess: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.76 (no red card)

Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.07 (no red card)

Mf Ashley Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.84 (no red card)

Fw Ignacio Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.3 (no red card)

Fw Estevan  Ramķrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.6 (no red card)

Fw Brandon Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.67 (no red card)

Fw Julian Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Robert Nolan: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 88.39 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Murray: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 27.41 (no injury) 
Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 25.32 (no injury) 
Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.74 (no injury) 
Df Douglas Souza: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 84.04 (no injury) 
Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.21 (no injury) 
Mf Joćo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 99.22 (no injury) 
Mf Reece Curtis: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 55.19 (no injury) 
Fw Leo Smith: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.25 (no injury) 
Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 84.87 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Hunter: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 87.04 (no injury) 

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Jared Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 61.22 (no injury) 
Sw Owen Curtis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 2.72 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Owen Curtis is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Owen Curtis new match skill level =  8
      Owen Curtis new match total level =  10
Df Owen Coppell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.39 (no injury) 
Df Jay Thomson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.38 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Burgess: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.53 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.96 (no injury) 
Mf Ashley Edwards: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.92 (no injury) 
Fw Ignacio Martinez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.4 (no injury) 
Fw Estevan  Ramķrez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.07 (no injury) 
Fw Brandon Lewis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.14 (no injury) 
Fw Julian Guerrero: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.95 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Murray SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jared Eton-Hogg SL 16

     intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ignacio Martinez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Robert Nolan SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      10   0  55  42  44
  Port Vale FC             18  10  38  19  43

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 6 (44 - 38); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 12 ((42 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((55 - 43) / 5); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Sam Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Sam Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Douglas Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Joćo DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Joćo DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Joćo DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Reece Curtis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 49.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Leo Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Leo Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 67.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Ellis Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             18  10  38  19  43
  Oldham Athletic AFC      10   0  55  42  44

Port Vale FC is Playing For A Draw!
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 0 (43 - 55)
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1  -  PORT VALE FC 0
 
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