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Watford
James Tucker
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ollie Baker            16    2   18     Gk Warre Michiels         16    2   18
Sw John MacDonald         15    2   17     Sw Kwan  Jeon             15    2   17
Df Peter Burns            13    1   14     Df William Michaud        12    2   14
Df Rafael Gomes            9    1   10     Df David Schmid           12    2   14
Df Stewart Tufnel          8    2   10     Mf Leon Ludley            12    2   14
Mf Matty Williams         15    0   15     Mf Theo Fisher            11    2   13
Mf Owen Boyle              8    2   10     Fw Peter Cruz             14    1   15
Fw Thomas Fergusen        15    2   17     Fw Carlton Mitchell       13    2   15
Fw Fionn Quinn            13    0   13     Fw Isak Nyström           10    1   11
Fw Stewart Burroughs      11    0   11     Fw Harvey Shepherd        13    1   14
Fw André Ferreira          8    2   10     Fw Dewei Zhou              8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 34 25 51        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 28 27 65    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 17 43 25 51         T O T A L S       18 17 28 27 65    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.42 (no red card)

Sw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.02 (no red card)

Df Peter Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.23 (no red card)

Df Rafael Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.9 (no red card)

Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.92 (no red card)

Mf Matty Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.44 (no red card)

Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.72 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.95 (no red card)

Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.06 (no red card)

Fw Stewart Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.41 (no red card)

Fw André Ferreira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.0 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.95 (no red card)

Sw Kwan  Jeon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.48 (no red card)

Df William Michaud: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.54 (no red card)

Df David Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.72 (no red card)

Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.87 (no red card)

Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.41 (no red card)

Fw Peter Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.27 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.19 (no red card)

Fw Isak Nyström: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.59 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.89 (no red card)

Fw Dewei Zhou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 69.84 (no injury) 
Sw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.13 (no injury) 
Df Peter Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.62 (no injury) 
Df Rafael Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.35 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.57 (no injury) 
Mf Matty Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.2 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.62 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.76 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.86 (no injury) 
Fw Stewart Burroughs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.84 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Stewart Burroughs is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Stewart Burroughs new match skill level =  6
      Stewart Burroughs new match total level =  6
Fw André Ferreira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.24 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 85.88 (no injury) 
Sw Kwan  Jeon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.46 (no injury) 
Df William Michaud: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.88 (no injury) 
Df David Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.06 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.91 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.88 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.52 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.46 (no injury) 
Fw Isak Nyström: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.66 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.39 (no injury) 
Fw Dewei Zhou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.61 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Matty Williams SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Warre Michiels SL 16

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Peter Cruz SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 16

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  21  17  43  25  46
  Queens Park Rangers      18  17  28  27  65

Watford Fw Attacks = 18 (46 - 28); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18  17  28  27  65
  Watford                  21  17  43  25  46

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 22 (65 - 43); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Mf Leon Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 11.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Isak Nyström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 52.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 70.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Isak Nyström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 47.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Dewei Zhou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Dewei Zhou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Dewei Zhou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 96.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Isak Nyström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 54.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Isak Nyström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Dewei Zhou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Isak Nyström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 27.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Isak Nyström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 2.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 1  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 1
 
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