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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jared Eton-Hogg        15    2   17     Gk Joseph Wheeler         14    2   16
Sw Ye Huáng               13    0   13     Sw Joseph Smalls          13    0   13
Df Douglas Ribeiro        14    2   16     Df Stewart Lester         11    1   12
Df Owen Coppell           11    2   13     Df Xavier Muńoz            5    2    7
Df Max Foster              4    2    6     Mf Mason Mitchell         11    2   13
Mf Jake Cooke             13    0   13     Mf Isaac Ryan             11    2   13
Mf Emile De Vos            8   -2    6     Df Harold Alvarez          5    2    7
Fw Estevan  Ramírez       15    0   15     Mf Alan Ramirez            7    2    9
Fw Manuel Andrade         15    0   15     Fw Ben Shepherd           15    1   16
Fw Julian Guerrero        14    0   14     Fw Antonio Ferri          13    0   13
Fw Ignacio Martinez        8    2   10     Fw Nigel Carter            8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 13 35 19 54        ROSTER TOTALS      16 13 26 35 39    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 13 35 21 61         T O T A L S       16 18 28 35 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jared Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.73 (no red card)

Sw Ye Huáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.33 (no red card)

Df Douglas Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.86 (no red card)

Df Owen Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.16 (no red card)

Df Max Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.22 (no red card)

Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.18 (no red card)

Mf Emile De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.85 (no red card)

Fw Estevan  Ramírez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.26 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.27 (no red card)

Fw Julian Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.09 (no red card)

Fw Ignacio Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.83 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.85 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.96 (no red card)

Df Stewart Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.08 (no red card)

Df Xavier Muńoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.47 (no red card)

Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.43 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.62 (no red card)

Df Harold Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.38 (no red card)

Mf Alan Ramirez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.61 (no red card)

Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.46 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Ferri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.76 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.51 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jared Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 1.85 (no injury) 
Sw Ye Huáng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.53 (no injury) 
Df Douglas Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.76 (no injury) 
Df Owen Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.97 (no injury) 
Df Max Foster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.74 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.32 (no injury) 
Mf Emile De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.7 (no injury) 
Fw Estevan  Ramírez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.46 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.73 (no injury) 
Fw Julian Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.93 (no injury) 
Fw Ignacio Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.44 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 43.06 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.13 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Lester: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.35 (no injury) 
Df Xavier Muńoz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.4 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.24 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Mason Mitchell is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Mason Mitchell new match skill level =  6
      Mason Mitchell new match total level =  8
Mf Isaac Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.97 (no injury) 
Df Harold Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.49 (no injury) 
Mf Alan Ramirez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.15 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.77 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Ferri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.39 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Estevan  Ramírez SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Joseph Wheeler SL 14

     intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Shepherd SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jared Eton-Hogg SL 15

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             17  13  35  21  61
  Nottingham Forest        16  18  28  30  39

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 33 (61 - 28); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 33

1: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 24.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 34.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Ignacio Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 6.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ignacio Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Ignacio Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 84.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
27: Attack for Fw Ignacio Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 27.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 13.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        16  18  28  30  39
  Port Vale FC             17  13  35  21  61

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 2 (39 - 35) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 21) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Isaac Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Isaac Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 89.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 1  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1
 
Match Notes
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Steve (Nottingham Forest) 09/15 - 9:26 PM
 
 
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