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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Nigel Brides           16    2   18     Gk Pedro DaSilva           4    2    6
Sw Tareq Akhrif            8    2   10     Sw Oscar Ford             11    2   13
Df Ben Kahn               13    2   15     Df Geoffrey Cross         12    1   13
Df Henry Baker            13    0   13     Df Sean Tufnel            10    2   12
Df Rory Smith             12    0   12     Df Fabian Schmitz          6    2    8
Mf Ryan Wright            13    2   15     Mf Douglas Carvalho       13    0   13
Mf Mark Jankel            13    0   13     Mf William Martin         12    2   14
Fw Jack Thompson          14    0   14     Mf Jonas Neuville          6    2    8
Fw John Wilson            13    1   14     Fw Luis Guerrero          15    2   17
Fw Freddie Akhtar         14    0   14     Fw Scott Murray           10    2   12
Fw Connor Brakspear        9    2   11     Fw Elliot Baker            9    1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 10 40 28 53        ROSTER TOTALS       6 13 33 35 39    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 10 40 28 62         T O T A L S        6 13 33 35 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.16 (no red card)

Sw Tareq Akhrif: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.9 (no red card)

Df Ben Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.88 (no red card)

Df Henry Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.48 (no red card)

Df Rory Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.36 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.39 (no red card)

Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.93 (no red card)

Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.43 (no red card)

Fw John Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.6 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Akhtar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.63 (no red card)

Fw Connor Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.8 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pedro DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.83 (no red card)

Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.35 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Cross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.69 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Geoffrey Cross new match skill level =  6
      Geoffrey Cross new match total level =  7

Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.69 (no second yellow)

Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.14 (no red card)

Mf Douglas Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.98 (no red card)

Mf William Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.7 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.1 (no red card)

Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.4 (no red card)

Fw Scott Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.19 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.25 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 87.62 (no injury) 
Sw Tareq Akhrif: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.55 (no injury) 
Df Ben Kahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.81 (no injury) 
Df Henry Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.46 (no injury) 
Df Rory Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.42 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.62 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.85 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.37 (no injury) 
Fw John Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.03 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Akhtar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.76 (no injury) 
Fw Connor Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.33 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Pedro DaSilva: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 42.1 (no injury) 
Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.75 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Cross: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.43 (no injury) 
Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.79 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.97 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.78 (no injury) 
Mf William Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.31 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.05 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.75 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.45 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.58 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jack Thompson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Pedro DaSilva SL 4

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Guerrero SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Brides SL 16

     intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18  10  40  28  62
  Swansea City AFC         6  13  27  35  39

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 35 (62 - 27); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 1 ((40 - 39) / 3); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 36

1: Attack for Df Ben Kahn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 56.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 41.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 94.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 84.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 88.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 15.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 92.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 64.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 15.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         6  13  27  35  39
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18  10  40  28  62

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 40)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 4 ((35 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 62) / 3;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 65.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 6  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
I hope Pedro DaSilva doesn't need psychiatric counseling after this.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 04/29 - 4:28 PM
 
 
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