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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hugo Martins           11    2   13     Gk Ollie Baker            16    2   18
Sw Oscar Ford              8    1    9     Sw Adam Wright            12   -1   11
Df Sean Tufnel            12    1   13     Df Nils Johansson         11   -1   10
Df Geoffrey Cross          9    1   10     Df Rókus Szoke             9    1   10
Df Fabian Schmitz          8    2   10     Df Rafael Gomes            9    1   10
Mf William Martin         13    2   15     Df Stewart Tufnel          7    2    9
Mf Douglas Carvalho       11    2   13     Mf Wes Barmby             10    2   12
Mf Jonas Neuville         10    2   12     Mf Owen Boyle              7    2    9
Mf Ben Neuville            8    2   10     Mf Park Yáng               7    2    9
Fw Steven Milner          12    2   14     Fw Thomas Fergusen        14    2   16
Fw Luis Guerrero          15    2   17     Fw André Ferreira          7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  9 33 50 31        ROSTER TOTALS      18 11 39 30 25    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  9 42 50 31         T O T A L S       18 11 46 30 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.08 (no red card)

Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.44 (no red card)

Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.96 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Cross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.37 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.94 (no red card)

Mf William Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.25 (no red card)

Mf Douglas Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.8 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.55 (no second yellow)

Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.97 (no red card)

Mf Ben Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.04 (no red card)

Fw Steven Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.89 (no red card)

Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.89 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.52 (no red card)

Sw Adam Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.51 (no red card)

Df Nils Johansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.25 (no red card)

Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.71 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Rókus Szoke new match skill level =  5
      Rókus Szoke new match total level =  6

Df Rafael Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.64 (no red card)

Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.28 (no red card)

Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.26 (no red card)

Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.67 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.44 (no second yellow)

Mf Park Yáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.37 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.71 (no red card)

Fw André Ferreira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.4 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.81 (no injury) 
Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.87 (no injury) 
Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.92 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Cross: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.77 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.62 (no injury) 
Mf William Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.37 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.71 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.01 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.58 (no injury) 
Fw Steven Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.13 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.43 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 91.73 (no injury) 
Sw Adam Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.79 (no injury) 
Df Nils Johansson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.63 (no injury) 
Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.09 (no injury) 
Df Rafael Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.6 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.8 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.46 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.07 (no injury) 
Mf Park Yáng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.49 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.31 (no injury) 
Fw André Ferreira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.48 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Guerrero SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 16

     intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Fergusen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Hugo Martins SL 11

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         13   9  42  50  31
  Watford                  18  11  42  30  25

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 42)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 10 ((50 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((42 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Geoffrey Cross
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Fabian Schmitz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Fabian Schmitz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Geoffrey Cross
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Sean Tufnel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Sean Tufnel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Jonas Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 51.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Jonas Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18  11  42  30  25
  Swansea City AFC         13   9  42  50  31

Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 42)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 2 ((42 - 31) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Stewart Tufnel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Stewart Tufnel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 5.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 0  -  WATFORD 0
 
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