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Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE                       OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Darren Smalls          13    1   14     Gk Robert Nolan            8    2   10
Sw David Huber            15    0   15     Df Thomas Murray          16    0   16
Df Benjamin Rowbotham     12    1   13     Df Susumu Takahashi       13    0   13
Df Ben Rees               10    2   12     Df Sam Morrissey          12    0   12
Mf James Thompson         13    0   13     Mf Greg Pastor            16    0   16
Mf Pedro Fernandes        12    0   12     Mf Joćo DaSilva           13    0   13
Mf Danny Moore            10    2   12     Mf Marco Costa            12    0   12
Fw Niall Hayes            15    0   15     Fw Leo Smith              14    0   14
Fw Bailey Ruddle          15    0   15     Fw Carl Henriksson        12    0   12
Fw Vincenzo Sanna         10    1   11     Fw Lars Bommel            12    0   12
Fw Darren Griffiths       10    1   11     Fw Ellis Hunter            8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 15 25 37 52        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 41 41 48    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  1  1    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  5  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 15 25 37 61         T O T A L S       15  0 42 42 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Darren Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.33 (no red card)

Sw David Huber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.04 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.27 (no red card)

Df Ben Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.54 (no red card)

Mf James Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.24 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.29 (no red card)

Mf Danny Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.54 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Danny Moore new match skill level =  5
      Danny Moore new match total level =  7

Fw Niall Hayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.12 (no red card)

Fw Bailey Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.05 (no red card)

Fw Vincenzo Sanna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.03 (no red card)

Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.85 (no red card)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Nolan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.32 (no red card)

Df Thomas Murray: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 33.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 79.67 (no red card)

Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 95.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 30.79 (no red card)

Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 37.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 71.86 (no red card)

Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 44.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 10.18 (no red card)

Mf Joćo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 71.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 81.94 (no red card)

Mf Marco Costa: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 27.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 60.95 (no red card)

Fw Leo Smith: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 32.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 46.08 (no red card)

Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 21.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 60.3 (no red card)

Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 94.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 81.48 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Hunter: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 79.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 84.15 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Darren Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 12.38 (no injury) 
Sw David Huber: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 18.94 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 47.45 (no injury) 
Df Ben Rees: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 57.79 (no injury) 
Mf James Thompson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 98.55 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Fernandes: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 62.13 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Moore: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 7.51 (no injury) 
Fw Niall Hayes: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 89.86 (no injury) 
Fw Bailey Ruddle: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 57.78 (no injury) 
Fw Vincenzo Sanna: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 17.93 (no injury) 
Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 36.35 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Robert Nolan: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 12.97 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Murray: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.98 (no injury) 
Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.55 (no injury) 
Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.7 (no injury) 
Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.16 (no injury) 
Mf Joćo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.36 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Costa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.69 (no injury) 
Fw Leo Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.78 (no injury) 
Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.46 (no injury) 
Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.53 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Hunter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.51 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Niall Hayes SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Robert Nolan SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Murray SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Darren Smalls SL 13

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     14  15  25  32  61
  Oldham Athletic AFC      15   0  42  42  49

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 19 (61 - 42); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 62.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Niall Hayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Niall Hayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 98.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 32.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Niall Hayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 74.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 32.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Niall Hayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 88.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      15   0  42  42  49
  Dagenham & Redbridge     14  15  25  32  61

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 24 (49 - 25); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 5 ((42 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 61) / 5;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 80.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Joćo DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ellis Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Ellis Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 92.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ellis Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Leo Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Leo Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Leo Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Leo Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Leo Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Ellis Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Leo Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 4  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 3
 
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