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Watford
James Tucker
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ollie Baker            16    2   18     Gk Louie Parsons          12    1   13
Sw Adam Wright            16    2   18     Sw Lewis Fortune-West      8    1    9
Df Peter Burns            13    1   14     Df Saburo Fukuda          12    2   14
Df Rókus Szoke             7    0    7     Df Sean Anderson          11    2   13
Mf Matty Williams         12    0   12     Df Isaac Butcher           8    2   10
Mf Wes Barmby              7    2    9     Mf Lee Hú                 12    2   14
Fw Gregory Edwards        12   -2   10     Mf Lachlan Wilson         11    2   13
Fw Luís Silva             16    0   16     Mf Joshua Burke           11    2   13
Fw Thomas Fergusen        10    2   12     Fw Oliver Duckworth       12    2   14
Fw Ibrahim Bennani         9    2   11     Fw Louie Peverell         12    2   14
Fw Fionn Quinn             7    2    9     Fw Love Sundström          8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 21 21 58        ROSTER TOTALS      13  9 37 40 38    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  1  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 23 22 65         T O T A L S       13  9 37 40 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.15 (no red card)

Sw Adam Wright: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 16.52 (no red card)

Df Peter Burns: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 92.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 86.7 (no red card)

Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 80.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 79.36 (no red card)

Mf Matty Williams: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 7.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 47.61 (no red card)

Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 28.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 63.48 (no red card)

Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 75.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 10.14 (no red card)

Fw Luís Silva: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 3.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 16.22 (no second yellow)

Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 38.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 79.51 (no red card)

Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 11.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 3.92 (no red card)

Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 36.47 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Louie Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.98 (no red card)

Sw Lewis Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.39 (no red card)

Df Saburo Fukuda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.9 (no red card)

Df Sean Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.09 (no red card)

Df Isaac Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.91 (no red card)

Mf Lee Hú: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.78 (no red card)

Mf Lachlan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.45 (no red card)

Mf Joshua Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.23 (no red card)

Fw Oliver Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.52 (no red card)

Fw Louie Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.97 (no red card)

Fw Love Sundström: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 43.65 (no injury) 
Sw Adam Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.26 (no injury) 
Df Peter Burns: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.98 (no injury) 
Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.95 (no injury) 
Mf Matty Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.17 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.27 (no injury) 
Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.2 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Silva: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.86 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.75 (no injury) 
Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.13 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.79 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Louie Parsons: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 92.23 (no injury) 
Sw Lewis Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.73 (no injury) 
Df Saburo Fukuda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.63 (no injury) 
Df Sean Anderson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.61 (no injury) 
Df Isaac Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.82 (no injury) 
Mf Lee Hú: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.3 (no injury) 
Mf Lachlan Wilson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.4 (no injury) 
Mf Joshua Burke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.79 (no injury) 
Fw Oliver Duckworth: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.47 (no injury) 
Fw Louie Peverell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.05 (no injury) 
Fw Love Sundström: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luís Silva SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Louie Parsons SL 12

     intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 77 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Saburo Fukuda SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 22 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18  18  23  22  65
  Brentford FC             13   9  37  40  38

Watford Fw Attacks = 28 (65 - 37); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 59.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 93.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 41.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 20.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 55.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 16.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 68.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 52.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             13   9  37  40  38
  Watford                  18  18  23  22  65

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 15 (38 - 23); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((40 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Mf Lee Hú
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Lachlan Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Lee Hú
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Lachlan Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Lee Hú
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Lachlan Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Joshua Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Lee Hú
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Joshua Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 67.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Louie Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Louie Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Louie Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Love Sundström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Oliver Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Love Sundström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Louie Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Love Sundström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Louie Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Love Sundström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Louie Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Oliver Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Love Sundström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Oliver Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Oliver Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 2  -  BRENTFORD FC 1
 
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