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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Sheffield United
Christer Kallin
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      SHEFFIELD UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kian Trickelbank       16    2   18     Gk Larry Dohm              7    2    9
Sw Cameron Sansom         15    2   17     Sw Martim Postiga         10    2   12
Df Harrison Porter        13    2   15     Df Harvey Barrett         18    1   19
Df Paul Compton            7    2    9     Df Gabriel Barros         13    1   14
Mf Nicola Rinaldi         13    2   15     Df Justin Schwarz          7    2    9
Mf Patrick Hayes           7    2    9     Mf Patrick Banks          13    1   14
Fw Jake Shrimpton         14    2   16     Mf Harry Dunn              7    2    9
Fw Petter Myhre           12    2   14     Mf Jaron  Peretz           3    2    5
Fw Artyom Morozov         16    2   18     Fw Rayan Laurent          14    2   16
Fw Gerry Ellis             7    2    9     Fw Jack Brennan            7    2    9
Fw Hans† Abrahamsen        7    2    9     Fw Rodrigo FernŠndez       3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 24 24 66        ROSTER TOTALS       9 12 42 28 30    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  5  0  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 17 29 24 70         T O T A L S        9 12 42 28 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 72.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 72.18 (no red card)

Sw Cameron Sansom: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 42.25 (no red card)

Df Harrison Porter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 1.88 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 87.4 (no second yellow)

Df Paul Compton: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 71.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 3.5 (no red card)

Mf Nicola Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 77.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 58.82 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Hayes: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 4.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 95.93 (no second yellow)

Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 29.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 30.8 (no red card)

Fw Petter Myhre: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 14.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 42.78 (no red card)

Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 13.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 64.16 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Ellis: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 41.52 (no red card)

Fw Hans† Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 13.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 35.18 (no red card)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Larry Dohm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.25 (no red card)

Sw Martim Postiga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.93 (no red card)

Df Harvey Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.17 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Barros: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.59 (no red card)

Df Justin Schwarz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.38 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.19 (no red card)

Mf Harry Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.14 (no red card)

Mf Jaron  Peretz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.39 (no red card)

Fw Rayan Laurent: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.84 (no red card)

Fw Jack Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.27 (no red card)

Fw Rodrigo FernŠndez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.36 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 14.1 (no injury) 
Sw Cameron Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.27 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Porter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.86 (no injury) 
Df Paul Compton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.49 (no injury) 
Mf Nicola Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.6 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Hayes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.78 (no injury) 
Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.47 (no injury) 
Fw Petter Myhre: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.11 (no injury) 
Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.27 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.95 (no injury) 
Fw Hans† Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.65 (no injury) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Larry Dohm: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 36.75 (no injury) 
Sw Martim Postiga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.35 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Martim Postiga is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Martim Postiga new match skill level =  5
      Martim Postiga new match total level =  7
Df Harvey Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.41 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Barros: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.89 (no injury) 
Df Justin Schwarz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.01 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Banks: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.17 (no injury) 
Mf Harry Dunn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.86 (no injury) 
Mf Jaron  Peretz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.43 (no injury) 
Fw Rayan Laurent: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.84 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Brennan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.72 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo FernŠndez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.33 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Artyom Morozov SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Larry Dohm SL 7

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Barrett SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    19  17  29  24  70
  Sheffield United         9   7  42  28  30

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 28 (70 - 42); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 85.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 25.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Gerry Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 96.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 43.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Hans† Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 55.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 41.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Hans† Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Hans† Abrahamsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Gerry Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 11.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 80.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sheffield United         9   7  42  28  30
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    19  17  29  24  70

Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 1 (30 - 29); result rounded up
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 70) / 3;  rounded up)
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Harry Dunn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 87.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Harry Dunn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Rayan Laurent
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 39.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 4  -  SHEFFIELD UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
Sheffield have a good record against us. so lets hope they have an olmec off day.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 03/20 - 10:51 PM
 
 
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