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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kian Trickelbank       14    2   16     Gk Joseph Wheeler         13    2   15
Sw Finlay Harvey          15    2   17     Sw Reece MacKay            7    2    9
Df Harley Stephenson      15    2   17     Df Stewart Lester         10    1   11
Df Harrison Porter         7    2    9     Df Luca Boga               7    2    9
Df Fernando Lebre          3    2    5     Df Joshua Brown            3    2    5
Mf Owen Marsh             15    2   17     Df Harley Scholes          3    2    5
Mf Carleton Thomas        12    2   14     Mf Nigel Ruddle           14    1   15
Mf Algernon Pike           7    0    7     Mf Jakob Jacobsen          7    2    9
Fw Anton Ekström          13    2   15     Fw Nigel Carter            7    2    9
Fw Jules Baudet            7    2    9     Fw Luca Köhler             3    2    5
Fw Jake Shrimpton          7    2    9     Fw Glen Shepherd           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 17 31 38 33        ROSTER TOTALS      15  9 30 24 19    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 17 31 38 42         T O T A L S       15 14 32 24 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 87.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 96.91 (no red card)

Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 49.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 52.84 (no red card)

Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 60.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 6.87 (no red card)

Df Harrison Porter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 25.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 8.86 (no red card)

Df Fernando Lebre: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 46.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 79.31 (no red card)

Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 58.34 (no red card)

Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 79.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 46.53 (no red card)

Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 71.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 58.26 (no red card)

Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 5.51 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 28.8 (no second yellow)

Fw Jules Baudet: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 29.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 41.77 (no red card)

Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 97.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 44.82 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.38 (no red card)

Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.07 (no red card)

Df Stewart Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.05 (no red card)

Df Luca Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.77 (no red card)

Df Joshua Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.93 (no red card)

Df Harley Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.21 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.45 (no red card)

Mf Jakob Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.44 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.06 (no red card)

Fw Luca Köhler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.47 (no red card)

Fw Glen Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.97 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 52.53 (no injury) 
Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.21 (no injury) 
Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.2 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Porter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.93 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.97 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.24 (no injury) 
Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.79 (no injury) 
Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.44 (no injury) 
Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.86 (no injury) 
Fw Jules Baudet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.24 (no injury) 
Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.85 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 47.89 (no injury) 
Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.93 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Lester: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.32 (no injury) 
Df Luca Boga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.59 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Brown: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.68 (no injury) 
Df Harley Scholes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.44 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.19 (no injury) 
Mf Jakob Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.55 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.41 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Köhler: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.45 (no injury) 
Fw Glen Shepherd: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.4 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harley Stephenson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Joseph Wheeler SL 13

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nigel Ruddle SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 23 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    17  17  31  38  42
  Nottingham Forest        15  14  32  24  19

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 10 (42 - 32); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 7 ((38 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((31 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Harrison Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Harrison Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Algernon Pike
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Carleton Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Algernon Pike
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Algernon Pike
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Carleton Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 72.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Carleton Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 1.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Jules Baudet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jules Baudet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Jules Baudet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 46.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        15  14  32  24  19
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    17  17  31  38  42

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 31)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1
 
Match Notes
Oh my!
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 09/01 - 7:02 PM
some bad points dropped here. the team need some shooting practice.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 09/02 - 9:08 AM
 
 
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