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Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC                        NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joe Berry              15    2   17     Gk Joseph Wheeler         14    2   16
Sw Harry Johnson          12    2   14     Sw Reece MacKay           13    2   15
Df Moritz Kaiser          10    0   10     Df Stewart Lester         13    2   15
Df John Peters            10    1   11     Df Harley Scholes          7    2    9
Df Christoffer Dahlberg    7    2    9     Df Joshua Brown            7    2    9
Mf Bruce Perez            12    2   14     Df Mark Daugherty          3    2    5
Mf Kian Milne              7    2    9     Mf Mason Mitchell         13    2   15
Mf Reuben Carroll          3    2    5     Mf Joan Soler              3    2    5
Fw Carleton James         12    2   14     Fw Ben Shepherd           15    2   17
Fw Max Conley             11    2   13     Fw Luca Köhler             7    2    9
Fw Mason Stewart           7    2    9     Fw Glen Shepherd           7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 14 30 28 36        ROSTER TOTALS      16 15 38 20 35    
       0  0  0  0  5          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 14 30 28 50         T O T A L S       16 15 38 20 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joe Berry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.82 (no red card)

Sw Harry Johnson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 91.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 18.86 (no red card)

Df Moritz Kaiser: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 28.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 12.25 (no red card)

Df John Peters: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 3.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 22.13 (no second yellow)

Df Christoffer Dahlberg: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 9.73 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 72.0 (no second yellow)

Mf Bruce Perez: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 61.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 12.0 (no red card)

Mf Kian Milne: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 32.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 63.33 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Carroll: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 2.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 20.2 (no second yellow)

Fw Carleton James: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 68.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 79.62 (no red card)

Fw Max Conley: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 52.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 12.25 (no red card)

Fw Mason Stewart: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 3.43 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 74.72 (no second yellow)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.72 (no red card)

Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.85 (no red card)

Df Stewart Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.81 (no red card)

Df Harley Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.16 (no red card)

Df Joshua Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.96 (no red card)

Df Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.02 (no red card)

Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.65 (no red card)

Mf Joan Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.11 (no red card)

Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.24 (no red card)

Fw Luca Köhler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.72 (no red card)

Fw Glen Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.8 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 5
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Joe Berry: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 39.43 (no injury) 
Sw Harry Johnson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 75.55 (no injury) 
Df Moritz Kaiser: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 75.24 (no injury) 
Df John Peters: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 2.24 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      John Peters is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      John Peters new match skill level =  5
      John Peters new match total level =  6
Df Christoffer Dahlberg: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 62.15 (no injury) 
Mf Bruce Perez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 29.4 (no injury) 
Mf Kian Milne: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 82.52 (no injury) 
Mf Reuben Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 26.26 (no injury) 
Fw Carleton James: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 95.12 (no injury) 
Fw Max Conley: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 68.46 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 52.69 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 22.9 (no injury) 
Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 92.72 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Lester: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 47.9 (no injury) 
Df Harley Scholes: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 63.99 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Brown: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 61.08 (no injury) 
Df Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 43.58 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 58.09 (no injury) 
Mf Joan Soler: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 17.84 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 19.21 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Köhler: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 31.71 (no injury) 
Fw Glen Shepherd: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 42.22 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bruce Perez SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Joseph Wheeler SL 14

     intRndPk = 72
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ben Shepherd SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Joe Berry SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 94 (pk blocked)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      17  14  25  28  50
  Nottingham Forest        16  15  38  20  35

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 12 (50 - 38); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((28 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Reuben Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Reuben Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Bruce Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Bruce Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Carleton James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Max Conley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Mason Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Carleton James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Max Conley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Carleton James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Carleton James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Carleton James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Mason Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Carleton James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Carleton James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Mason Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 71.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        16  15  38  20  35
  Northampton Town FC      17  14  25  28  50

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 10 (35 - 25); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Glen Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 75.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Luca Köhler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
Match Notes
Might have a chance
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 12/08 - 9:03 PM
You kidding right
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 12/08 - 9:04 PM
Seems fair considering you had no one sent off and saved a penalty.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 12/08 - 9:21 PM
 
 
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