MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2 TMBL MSWL The Manager
Wednesday, December 19th, 2018 - 08:22:23 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① - Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats Tables Teams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(H)
Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEEDS UNITED                               NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Terry Clark            13    2   15     Gk Joseph Wheeler         13    2   15
Sw Jakob Werner           11    0   11     Sw Reece MacKay           12    2   14
Df Carlton Scott          16    2   18     Df Stewart Lester         13    1   14
Df Tony Begum             10    1   11     Df Arjen Schaffer         11    0   11
Mf Semyon Popov           10    2   12     Df Harley Scholes          6    2    8
Mf Joseph Lane             6    0    6     Mf Mason Mitchell         13    1   14
Fw Clifton Hart           11    0   11     Mf Nigel Ruddle           13    1   14
Fw Aaron Mitchell         10    1   11     Fw Ben Shepherd           14    1   15
Fw Joaquin Lugano          6    2    8     Fw Nigel Carter           10    1   11
Fw Noboru Ogawa            6   -1    5     Fw Antonio Ferri           9    2   11
Fw Arthur Annesleyy        6    2    8     Fw Paul Drinkwater        13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 11 29 18 43        ROSTER TOTALS      15 14 33 28 51    
       0  0  0  2  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  7  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 11 29 20 60         T O T A L S       15 14 33 28 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Terry Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.53 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Werner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 72.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 76.27 (no red card)

Df Carlton Scott: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 81.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 8.2 (no red card)

Df Tony Begum: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 49.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 12.52 (no red card)

Mf Semyon Popov: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 37.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 66.9 (no red card)

Mf Joseph Lane: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 49.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 6.14 (no red card)

Fw Clifton Hart: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 72.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 98.71 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Mitchell: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 35.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 16.88 (no red card)

Fw Joaquin Lugano: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 41.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 72.44 (no red card)

Fw Noboru Ogawa: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 21.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 95.25 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Annesleyy: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 51.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 43.94 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.04 (no red card)

Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.96 (no red card)

Df Stewart Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.77 (no red card)

Df Arjen Schaffer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.42 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.72 (no second yellow)

Df Harley Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.95 (no red card)

Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.9 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.2 (no red card)

Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.51 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.73 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Ferri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.52 (no red card)

Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.04 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 3
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Terry Clark: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 80.84 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Werner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.51 (no injury) 
Df Carlton Scott: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.93 (no injury) 
Df Tony Begum: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.78 (no injury) 
Mf Semyon Popov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.09 (no injury) 
Mf Joseph Lane: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.36 (no injury) 
Fw Clifton Hart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.45 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.32 (no injury) 
Fw Joaquin Lugano: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.33 (no injury) 
Fw Noboru Ogawa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.57 (no injury) 
Fw Arthur Annesleyy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.44 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 49.83 (no injury) 
Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 39.96 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Lester: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 74.06 (no injury) 
Df Arjen Schaffer: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 18.79 (no injury) 
Df Harley Scholes: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 53.48 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 70.78 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 40.26 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 26.42 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 89.47 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Ferri: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 1.1 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Antonio Ferri is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Antonio Ferri new match skill level =  5
      Antonio Ferri new match total level =  7
Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 13.16 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carlton Scott SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Joseph Wheeler SL 13

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ben Shepherd SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Terry Clark SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             15  11  29  20  60
  Nottingham Forest        15  14  33  28  47

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 27 (60 - 33); result rounded up
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Leeds United Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Joaquin Lugano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Noboru Ogawa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Noboru Ogawa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Arthur Annesleyy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Aaron Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Noboru Ogawa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Arthur Annesleyy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Joaquin Lugano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Noboru Ogawa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 16.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Arthur Annesleyy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Arthur Annesleyy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Arthur Annesleyy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Joaquin Lugano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Joaquin Lugano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Noboru Ogawa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Arthur Annesleyy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Arthur Annesleyy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Aaron Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Aaron Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Aaron Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 21.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Noboru Ogawa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        15  14  33  28  47
  Leeds United             15  11  29  20  60

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 18 (47 - 29); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 4 ((28 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 89.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Antonio Ferri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 35.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Antonio Ferri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 38.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 83.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 68.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Antonio Ferri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 28.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEEDS UNITED 0  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2
 
Match Notes
That'll do nicely.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 12/01 - 7:55 PM
 
 
Terms and Conditions