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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tom Lang               15    2   17     Gk Joseph Wheeler         12    2   14
Df Matthew Martin         10    1   11     Sw Reece MacKay            7    2    9
Df Saburo Fukuda           9    2   11     Df Luca Boga               7    2    9
Df Guillaume Mallet        6    2    8     Df Joshua Brown            3    2    5
Df Noah Nielsen            3    2    5     Df Harley Scholes          3    2    5
Mf Reece Wilson            8    2   10     Mf Nigel Ruddle           14    1   15
Mf Patrick Torres          7    2    9     Mf Mason Mitchell         10    2   12
Mf Matty Gerrard           7    2    9     Mf Jakob Jacobsen          6    2    8
Fw Oliver Duckworth       13    1   14     Fw Nigel Carter            7    2    9
Fw Aleksei Novikov        10    2   12     Fw Luca Köhler             3    2    5
Fw Nathan Rivet            7    2    9     Fw Glen Shepherd           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 35 28 35        ROSTER TOTALS      14  9 19 35 19    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 35 37 35         T O T A L S       14 14 21 35 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tom Lang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.82 (no red card)

Df Matthew Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.19 (no red card)

Df Saburo Fukuda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.79 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.33 (no second yellow)

Df Guillaume Mallet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.92 (no red card)

Df Noah Nielsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.78 (no red card)

Mf Reece Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.24 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.95 (no red card)

Mf Matty Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.24 (no red card)

Fw Oliver Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.6 (no red card)

Fw Aleksei Novikov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.1 (no second yellow)

Fw Nathan Rivet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.2 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.81 (no red card)

Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.32 (no red card)

Df Luca Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.11 (no red card)

Df Joshua Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.82 (no red card)

Df Harley Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.95 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.87 (no red card)

Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.09 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.72 (no second yellow)

Mf Jakob Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.85 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.58 (no red card)

Fw Luca Köhler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.21 (no red card)

Fw Glen Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Tom Lang: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 46.01 (no injury) 
Df Matthew Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.73 (no injury) 
Df Saburo Fukuda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.35 (no injury) 
Df Guillaume Mallet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.11 (no injury) 
Df Noah Nielsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.16 (no injury) 
Mf Reece Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.58 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.34 (no injury) 
Mf Matty Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.28 (no injury) 
Fw Oliver Duckworth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.98 (no injury) 
Fw Aleksei Novikov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.48 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Rivet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.85 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.94 (no injury) 
Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.53 (no injury) 
Df Luca Boga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.71 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.61 (no injury) 
Df Harley Scholes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.76 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.49 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.39 (no injury) 
Mf Jakob Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.47 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.75 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Köhler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.94 (no injury) 
Fw Glen Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.75 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oliver Duckworth SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Joseph Wheeler SL 12

     intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nigel Ruddle SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Tom Lang SL 15

     intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             17   0  35  37  35
  Nottingham Forest        14  14  21  35  19

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 14 (35 - 21); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((37 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 4 ((35 - 19) / 5); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Saburo Fukuda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 76.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Noah Nielsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 25.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Saburo Fukuda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Guillaume Mallet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Patrick Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Nathan Rivet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Aleksei Novikov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 52.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Oliver Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Nathan Rivet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Oliver Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Oliver Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 12.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Oliver Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 27.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Oliver Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Oliver Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Aleksei Novikov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Nathan Rivet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Nathan Rivet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 16.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Nathan Rivet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 47.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Aleksei Novikov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        14  14  21  35  19
  Brentford FC             17   0  35  37  35

Brentford FC is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 35)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 1  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
Match Notes
Fortunate to get a win today.
Allan (Brentford FC) 08/25 - 7:14 PM
 
 
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