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Sheffield United
Christer Kallin
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SHEFFIELD UNITED                           WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Billy Robson           12    1   13     Gk Ollie Baker            16    2   18
Sw Dylan Shea             14    0   14     Sw John MacDonald          6    2    8
Df Barry Neville          14    1   15     Df Rafael Gomes           11    0   11
Df Harvey Barrett         14    1   15     Df Max Beckham            11   -1   10
Df John Campbell          11    1   12     Df Derek Fox               9    0    9
Df Ben Fortune-West       10    1   11     Df Stewart Tufnel          3    2    5
Df Glenn May               7    2    9     Mf Park Yáng               9    1   10
Mf Simon Fischer          13    1   14     Mf Wes Barmby              6    2    8
Mf Reece Coppell          12    2   14     Mf Owen Boyle              3    2    5
Fw Daniel Owen            13    1   14     Fw Ibrahim Bennani         9    2   11
Fw Hector  Valverde       11    1   12     Fw André Ferreira          3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 14 62 28 26        ROSTER TOTALS      18  8 35 23 16    
       0  0  0  0  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 14 65 30 30         T O T A L S       18  8 42 23 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Robson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.52 (no red card)

Sw Dylan Shea: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 48.45 (no red card)

Df Barry Neville: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 47.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 91.51 (no red card)

Df Harvey Barrett: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 3.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 5.23 (no second yellow)

Df John Campbell: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 5.45 (no red card)

Df Ben Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 80.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 29.84 (no red card)

Df Glenn May: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 27.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 92.58 (no red card)

Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 10.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 54.28 (no red card)

Mf Reece Coppell: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 45.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 57.72 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Owen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 84.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 68.52 (no red card)

Fw Hector  Valverde: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 89.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 55.72 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.91 (no red card)

Sw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.47 (no red card)

Df Rafael Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.54 (no red card)

Df Max Beckham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.59 (no red card)

Df Derek Fox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.7 (no red card)

Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.74 (no red card)

Mf Park Yáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.25 (no red card)

Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.51 (no red card)

Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.45 (no red card)

Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.97 (no red card)

Fw André Ferreira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.81 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 2
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Billy Robson: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 93.6 (no injury) 
Sw Dylan Shea: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.35 (no injury) 
Df Barry Neville: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.36 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 68.51 (no injury) 
Df John Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 60.72 (no injury) 
Df Ben Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.79 (no injury) 
Df Glenn May: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 59.71 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 73.21 (no injury) 
Mf Reece Coppell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 25.49 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Owen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.74 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Daniel Owen is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Hector  Valverde: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.6 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Hector  Valverde is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 88.81 (no injury) 
Sw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.92 (no injury) 
Df Rafael Gomes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.61 (no injury) 
Df Max Beckham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.17 (no injury) 
Df Derek Fox: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.41 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.89 (no injury) 
Mf Park Yáng: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.91 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.81 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.58 (no injury) 
Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.17 (no injury) 
Fw André Ferreira: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.38 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Barry Neville SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 16

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Rafael Gomes SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Billy Robson SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 40 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sheffield United         13  14  65  30  30
  Watford                  18   8  42  23  16

Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 42)
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 4 ((30 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 17 ((65 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Ben Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Ben Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 12.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Harvey Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Barry Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Barry Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Harvey Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df Barry Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Barry Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df John Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Df Harvey Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Df John Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Df Glenn May
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Df Ben Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Df Harvey Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Df Harvey Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Df Glenn May
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Df Glenn May
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 70.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18   8  42  23  16
  Sheffield United         13  14  65  30  30

Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 65)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 2 ((42 - 30) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Derek Fox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Max Beckham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SHEFFIELD UNITED 1  -  WATFORD 1
 
Match Notes
Watford injury crisis. Limits the tactical options.
James (Watford) 04/12 - 10:18 PM
 
 
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