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Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Chambers         10    0   10     Gk Craig Thomas           13    2   15
Sw Euan Lindsay           11    0   11     Df John MacDonald         13    2   15
Df Thomas Murray          15    0   15     Sw Mark Butler             3    2    5
Df Susumu Takahashi       12    0   12     Df Stewart Tufnel         10    1   11
Df Sam Morrissey          12    0   12     Df Adam Doherty            6    2    8
Mf Greg Pastor            15    0   15     Mf Terry Bailey           12    0   12
Mf Joćo DaSilva           12    0   12     Mf Antonin Berger         11    1   12
Mf Leo Marino             12    0   12     Mf Ashley Ball             7    2    9
Fw Leo Smith              12    0   12     Mf Erik Weber              6    2    8
Fw Carl Henriksson        12    0   12     Fw Joe Lennon              7    2    9
Fw Lars Bommel            12    0   12     Fw Peter Gomez             3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 11 39 39 36        ROSTER TOTALS      15  5 34 41 14    
       0  0  1  1  1          HARDNESS          0  0  1  0  0    
       0  0  2  2  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 11 42 42 42         T O T A L S       15 10 37 41 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ethan Chambers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.21 (no red card)

Sw Euan Lindsay: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 13.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 58.12 (no red card)

Df Thomas Murray: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 26.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 67.44 (no red card)

Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 86.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 73.1 (no red card)

Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 74.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 86.81 (no red card)

Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 71.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 44.53 (no red card)

Mf Joćo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 41.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 11.92 (no red card)

Mf Leo Marino: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 26.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 49.31 (no red card)

Fw Leo Smith: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 67.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 64.26 (no red card)

Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 73.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 1.44 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Carl Henriksson new match skill level =  6
      Carl Henriksson new match total level =  6

Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 90.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 27.4 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Craig Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.09 (no red card)

Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 52.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 69.39 (no red card)

Sw Mark Butler: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 97.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 41.25 (no red card)

Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 73.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 55.14 (no red card)

Df Adam Doherty: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 13.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 36.19 (no red card)

Mf Terry Bailey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 76.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 96.65 (no red card)

Mf Antonin Berger: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 25.81 (no red card)

Mf Ashley Ball: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 70.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 68.74 (no red card)

Mf Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 12.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 90.56 (no red card)

Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 9.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 22.32 (no red card)

Fw Peter Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 49.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 32.7 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Ethan Chambers: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 94.64 (no injury) 
Sw Euan Lindsay: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.58 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Murray: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.24 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Thomas Murray is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 75.98 (no injury) 
Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.84 (no injury) 
Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.18 (no injury) 
Mf Joćo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.2 (no injury) 
Mf Leo Marino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.95 (no injury) 
Fw Leo Smith: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.01 (no injury) 
Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.73 (no injury) 
Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.72 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Craig Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.87 (no injury) 
Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 94.51 (no injury) 
Sw Mark Butler: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 13.69 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 27.73 (no injury) 
Df Adam Doherty: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 63.06 (no injury) 
Mf Terry Bailey: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 8.16 (no injury) 
Mf Antonin Berger: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 88.74 (no injury) 
Mf Ashley Ball: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 69.29 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 93.35 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 1.9 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Joe Lennon is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Peter Gomez: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 28.57 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Murray SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Craig Thomas SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: John MacDonald SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Chambers SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 34 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      10  11  42  42  36
  Watford                  15  10  37  41  14

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 37)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((42 - 41) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 10 ((42 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Thomas Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Susumu Takahashi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Susumu Takahashi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Thomas Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Sam Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Thomas Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Thomas Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 98.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Df Sam Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 85.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Df Sam Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 98.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Df Thomas Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Joćo DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  15  10  37  41  14
  Oldham Athletic AFC      10  11  42  42  36

Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 42)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((41 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 1 ((37 - 36) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 3  -  WATFORD 1
 
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