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Watford
James Tucker
 
Leicester City FC
Hazel Hawker
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    LEICESTER CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ollie Baker            16    2   18     Gk Billy Smith             9    2   11
Sw John MacDonald         13    2   15     Sw Ariel Cohen             6    2    8
Df Peter Burns            13    1   14     Df Cooper White           10    1   11
Df Nils Johansson         11    0   11     Df Braulio  Salas          6   -2    4
Mf Matty Williams         15    0   15     Df Allan Black             3    2    5
Mf Park Yáng               7    2    9     Mf Vincent Lindholm        7    2    9
Mf Owen Boyle              6    2    8     Mf David Gutierrez         6    2    8
Fw Thomas Fergusen        13    2   15     Mf Oren Ben-David          3    2    5
Fw Fionn Quinn            10    2   12     Fw Larry Chen              7    2    9
Fw Gregory Edwards         8    0    8     Fw David Foster            7    0    7
Fw André Ferreira          6    2    8     Fw Shing Huáng             3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 25 32 43        ROSTER TOTALS      11  8 20 22 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  7  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 15 25 32 52         T O T A L S       11  8 27 22 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.88 (no red card)

Sw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.1 (no red card)

Df Peter Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.82 (no red card)

Df Nils Johansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.57 (no red card)

Mf Matty Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.15 (no red card)

Mf Park Yáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.75 (no red card)

Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.46 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.69 (no red card)

Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.54 (no red card)

Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.45 (no red card)

Fw André Ferreira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.99 (no red card)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 7
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.41 (no red card)

Sw Ariel Cohen: Chance of booking = 20.25% | Random number = 8.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.37% | Random number = 16.73 (no second yellow)

Df Cooper White: Chance of booking = 20.25% | Random number = 42.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.37% | Random number = 58.77 (no red card)

Df Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 20.25% | Random number = 35.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.37% | Random number = 19.52 (no red card)

Df Allan Black: Chance of booking = 20.25% | Random number = 58.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.37% | Random number = 90.06 (no red card)

Mf Vincent Lindholm: Chance of booking = 20.25% | Random number = 45.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.37% | Random number = 55.71 (no red card)

Mf David Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 20.25% | Random number = 8.28 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.37% | Random number = 8.76 (no second yellow)

Mf Oren Ben-David: Chance of booking = 20.25% | Random number = 74.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.37% | Random number = 73.03 (no red card)

Fw Larry Chen: Chance of booking = 20.25% | Random number = 92.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.37% | Random number = 70.56 (no red card)

Fw David Foster: Chance of booking = 20.25% | Random number = 19.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.37% | Random number = 58.95 (no second yellow)

Fw Shing Huáng: Chance of booking = 20.25% | Random number = 41.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.37% | Random number = 71.16 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 7
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.87%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 3.87% | Random number = 74.8 (no injury) 
Sw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 81.65 (no injury) 
Df Peter Burns: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 18.38 (no injury) 
Df Nils Johansson: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 26.23 (no injury) 
Mf Matty Williams: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 79.63 (no injury) 
Mf Park Yáng: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 25.91 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 20.55 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 94.4 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 6.97 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Fionn Quinn is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Fionn Quinn new match skill level =  5
      Fionn Quinn new match total level =  7
Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 94.61 (no injury) 
Fw André Ferreira: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 34.47 (no injury) 

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 7
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Billy Smith: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 83.85 (no injury) 
Sw Ariel Cohen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 96.16 (no injury) 
Df Cooper White: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 68.95 (no injury) 
Df Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 63.73 (no injury) 
Df Allan Black: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 60.41 (no injury) 
Mf Vincent Lindholm: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 19.93 (no injury) 
Mf David Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 46.31 (no injury) 
Mf Oren Ben-David: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 69.27 (no injury) 
Fw Larry Chen: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 79.19 (no injury) 
Fw David Foster: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 54.76 (no injury) 
Fw Shing Huáng: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 1.23 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Shing Huáng is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Shing Huáng new match skill level =  2
      Shing Huáng new match total level =  4
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 7; (7 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Matty Williams SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Billy Smith SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 19 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 53 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cooper White SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 16

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18  15  25  32  47
  Leicester City FC        11   8  27  22  20

Watford Fw Attacks = 20 (47 - 27); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 5 ((32 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 2 ((25 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Df Nils Johansson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Peter Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 21.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Matty Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Owen Boyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Matty Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 9.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Matty Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Matty Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 51.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 47.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 42.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 32.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 66.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 36.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 5.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 38.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leicester City FC        11   8  27  22  20
  Watford                  18  15  25  32  47

Leicester City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 25)
Leicester City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 4  -  LEICESTER CITY FC 0
 
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