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Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARDIFF CITY FC                            PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gerry McDermott        12    2   14     Gk Nigel Brides           16    2   18
Sw Fabio Donati           11    1   12     Df Ben Kahn               12    2   14
Df Malte Lundberg         13    2   15     Df Glenn Heskey           10    1   11
Df Lewis McBrayne         11    2   13     Df Arran Brown             7    2    9
Mf David Robinet          13    1   14     Mf Mark Jankel            13    0   13
Mf Lucas Collins          10    0   10     Mf Ryan Wright            11    2   13
Fw David Dowson           13    1   14     Mf Daniel Milner          10    0   10
Fw Jed Butler             13    1   14     Mf Gianluca Boga           9    1   10
Fw Bailey Lampton         12    0   12     Mf Abe Blazel              6    2    8
Fw Carlos Alvarado        11    0   11     Fw Jack Thompson          14    0   14
Fw Noah Green             10    2   12     Fw Jakob Halvorsen         7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 12 28 24 63        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 34 54 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 12 28 24 72         T O T A L S       18  0 34 54 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gerry McDermott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.39 (no red card)

Sw Fabio Donati: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.67 (no red card)

Df Malte Lundberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.87 (no red card)

Df Lewis McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.9 (no red card)

Mf David Robinet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.27 (no red card)

Mf Lucas Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.62 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.55 (no second yellow)

Fw David Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.29 (no red card)

Fw Jed Butler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.14 (no red card)

Fw Bailey Lampton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.22 (no red card)

Fw Carlos Alvarado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.7 (no red card)

Fw Noah Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.46 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.17 (no red card)

Df Ben Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.36 (no red card)

Df Glenn Heskey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.69 (no red card)

Df Arran Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.35 (no red card)

Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.9 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.61 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.51 (no red card)

Mf Gianluca Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.85 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.04 (no second yellow)

Mf Abe Blazel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.29 (no red card)

Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.11 (no red card)

Fw Jakob Halvorsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gerry McDermott: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.03 (no injury) 
Sw Fabio Donati: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.04 (no injury) 
Df Malte Lundberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.64 (no injury) 
Df Lewis McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.05 (no injury) 
Mf David Robinet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.8 (no injury) 
Mf Lucas Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.48 (no injury) 
Fw David Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.46 (no injury) 
Fw Jed Butler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.85 (no injury) 
Fw Bailey Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.15 (no injury) 
Fw Carlos Alvarado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.06 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Green: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.27 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 73.85 (no injury) 
Df Ben Kahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.23 (no injury) 
Df Glenn Heskey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.56 (no injury) 
Df Arran Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.27 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.66 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.88 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.89 (no injury) 
Mf Gianluca Boga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.6 (no injury) 
Mf Abe Blazel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.38 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.7 (no injury) 
Fw Jakob Halvorsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.23 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Malte Lundberg SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Brides SL 16

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jack Thompson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Gerry McDermott SL 12

     intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          14  12  28  24  72
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18   0  34  54  23

Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap!
Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 19 (72 - 34) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 54) / 2;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((28 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Lewis McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Malte Lundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Noah Green
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw David Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 53.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw David Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 81.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 6.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Carlos Alvarado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw David Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Carlos Alvarado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 51.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Noah Green
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Carlos Alvarado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw David Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 59.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw David Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Carlos Alvarado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Noah Green
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18   0  34  54  23
  Cardiff City FC          14  12  28  24  72

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 28)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 15 ((54 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 72) / 5;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 60.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 99.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Gianluca Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Gianluca Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Abe Blazel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Gianluca Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARDIFF CITY FC 4  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1
 
Match Notes
Let's see if we can't take advantage of these injuries.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 04/14 - 3:32 PM
We thought we were prepared... we were not prepared for that offensive onslaught.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 04/16 - 8:32 PM
 
 
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