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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Titouan Raoul          12    2   14     Gk Lewis Alexander         6    2    8
Df Jaron  Biton           13    0   13     Sw Josh Anderson           9    0    9
Df Matthew Webster         4    2    6     Df Nico König              6    2    8
Df Matteo Maggioni        13    0   13     Df Gareth O'Brien          3    0    3
Df Darren Durman          17    0   17     Mf James Thompson         13   -1   12
Df Gareth Chapman          6    2    8     Mf Liam Stevenson          6    2    8
Mf Carrington Kennedy     13    0   13     Mf Baptiste Courtois       3   -1    2
Mf Alistair Barnes        12    0   12     Fw Niall Hayes            13    0   13
Mf Jake Griffiths          6    2    8     Fw Bailey Ruddle          15    0   15
Fw Aaron Allan            15    0   15     Fw Darren Griffiths       10    1   11
Fw Ben Frings              6    2    8     Fw Joe Santiago            6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  0 57 33 23        ROSTER TOTALS       8  9 11 22 47    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  5  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 57 42 23         T O T A L S        8  9 16 22 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.23 (no red card)

Df Jaron  Biton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.68 (no red card)

Df Matthew Webster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.4 (no red card)

Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.94 (no red card)

Df Darren Durman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.38 (no red card)

Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.69 (no red card)

Mf Carrington Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.98 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.45 (no red card)

Mf Jake Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.72 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.21 (no red card)

Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.09 (no red card)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lewis Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.75 (no red card)

Sw Josh Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.43 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Josh Anderson new match skill level =  5
      Josh Anderson new match total level =  5

Df Nico König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.5 (no red card)

Df Gareth O'Brien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.96 (no red card)

Mf James Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.79 (no red card)

Mf Liam Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.11 (no red card)

Mf Baptiste Courtois: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.48 (no red card)

Fw Niall Hayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.83 (no red card)

Fw Bailey Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.62 (no red card)

Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.14 (no red card)

Fw Joe Santiago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 85.95 (no injury) 
Df Jaron  Biton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.66 (no injury) 
Df Matthew Webster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.85 (no injury) 
Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.2 (no injury) 
Df Darren Durman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.27 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.01 (no injury) 
Mf Carrington Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.73 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.48 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.54 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.84 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.75 (no injury) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Lewis Alexander: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 42.06 (no injury) 
Sw Josh Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.46 (no injury) 
Df Nico König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.97 (no injury) 
Df Gareth O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.72 (no injury) 
Mf James Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.7 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.36 (no injury) 
Mf Baptiste Courtois: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.81 (no injury) 
Fw Niall Hayes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.21 (no injury) 
Fw Bailey Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.18 (no injury) 
Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.26 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Santiago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.81 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Darren Durman SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Lewis Alexander SL 6

     intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bailey Ruddle SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Titouan Raoul SL 12

     intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          14   0  57  42  23
  Dagenham & Redbridge     8   5  16  22  47

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 7 (23 - 16); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((42 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((57 - 47) / 5); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Matthew Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 33.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Darren Durman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jake Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 30.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Jake Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 48.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 52.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 76.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 44.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 9.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 70.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 33.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     8   5  16  22  47
  Bristol City FC          14   0  57  42  23

Bristol City FC is using Offside Trap!
Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 0 (47 - 57)
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((16 - 23) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 2  -  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 0
 
Match Notes
Another home match we need to win. D&R not having the best of starts in the league.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 11/25 - 5:10 AM
In the wrong league this season
Jeff (Dagenham & Redbridge) 11/30 - 9:04 AM
Straightforward enough win, thankfully. Need many more of these.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 12/02 - 4:56 AM
 
 
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