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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Titouan Raoul          16    2   18     Gk Jake Jenkins           12    2   14
Sw Jaron  Biton           15    1   16     Df Gregg Ferdinand        12    1   13
Df Joseph Carpenter       13    0   13     Df Nigel Fortune-West     11    0   11
Df Gareth Chapman         11    2   13     Df Aidan Barry             6    2    8
Mf Rafael  Torres         13    1   14     Mf Jeff Hunter            12    0   12
Mf Carrington Kennedy     10    0   10     Mf Dylan Walker           10    0   10
Fw Mason Singh            15    1   16     Mf Abe Blazel             10    0   10
Fw Aaron Allan            12    0   12     Mf Simon Schmidt           9    0    9
Fw Ben Frings             11    2   13     Mf Antonio Lozano          6    2    8
Fw Fabio Orlando          11    0   11     Fw Patrick Gallaher       10    1   11
Fw Harley Bentinck         8    1    9     Fw Charles Fox             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 16 26 24 61        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 32 49 19    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 16 26 33 61         T O T A L S       14  0 32 49 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.8 (no red card)

Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.65 (no red card)

Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.21 (no red card)

Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.01 (no red card)

Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.62 (no red card)

Mf Carrington Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.65 (no red card)

Fw Mason Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.97 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.27 (no red card)

Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.47 (no red card)

Fw Fabio Orlando: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.26 (no red card)

Fw Harley Bentinck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.53 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jake Jenkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.64 (no red card)

Df Gregg Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.89 (no red card)

Df Nigel Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.74 (no red card)

Df Aidan Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.44 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.98 (no red card)

Mf Dylan Walker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.32 (no red card)

Mf Abe Blazel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.92 (no red card)

Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.72 (no red card)

Mf Antonio Lozano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.17 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.08 (no red card)

Fw Charles Fox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.64 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 77.27 (no injury) 
Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.18 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.72 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.03 (no injury) 
Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.92 (no injury) 
Mf Carrington Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.62 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Singh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.9 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.16 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.86 (no injury) 
Fw Fabio Orlando: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.66 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Bentinck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.84 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jake Jenkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 16.73 (no injury) 
Df Gregg Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.35 (no injury) 
Df Nigel Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.7 (no injury) 
Df Aidan Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.66 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.92 (no injury) 
Mf Dylan Walker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.06 (no injury) 
Mf Abe Blazel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.97 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.06 (no injury) 
Mf Antonio Lozano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.13 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.67 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Fox: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.46 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mason Singh SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jake Jenkins SL 12

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gregg Ferdinand SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Titouan Raoul SL 16

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          18  16  26  33  61
  Plymouth Argyle FC       14   0  32  49  19

Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 15 (61 - 32) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 49) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 3 ((26 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Joseph Carpenter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 69.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Joseph Carpenter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Gareth Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Mason Singh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Fabio Orlando
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Mason Singh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Mason Singh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 7.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 47.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 79.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Mason Singh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 50.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Mason Singh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 65.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Harley Bentinck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 13.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Fabio Orlando
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Mason Singh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 89.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Mason Singh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 16.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Harley Bentinck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 76.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       14   0  32  49  19
  Bristol City FC          18  16  26  33  61

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 26)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((49 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 61) / 5;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 23.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Jeff Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Antonio Lozano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Dylan Walker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Jeff Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 4  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Wish the squad was better than it is, but should still be able to win, especially at home.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 03/12 - 6:48 AM
Got the tactics all wrong, but were still good enough for the win. Plymouth needed a better defense.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 03/17 - 5:04 AM
 
 
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