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Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Harrison Holland        6    2    8     Gk Hugo Martins           11    0   11
Sw Gabriel Martin         13    2   15     Sw Oscar Ford              8    1    9
Df Jacob Harewood         13    0   13     Df Sean Tufnel            11   -1   10
Df Thomas Charlton        13    0   13     Df Fabian Schmitz          7    2    9
Df Carl Berg               7    0    7     Df George Mason            5    2    7
Mf Martin Hunt            13    2   15     Mf William Martin         13    2   15
Mf Marco Vedder           12    0   12     Mf Jonas Neuville         10    2   12
Fw Fernando Neves         15    0   15     Mf Shay  Lindsay           5    2    7
Fw Erling Hauge           13    0   13     Fw Luis Guerrero          15    2   17
Fw Luis  Gutiérrez        12    0   12     Fw Steven Milner          10    2   12
Fw Victor Jensen          11    2   13     Fw Jamie Collins           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8 15 33 27 53        ROSTER TOTALS      11  9 26 34 37    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8 15 42 27 53         T O T A L S       11  9 26 34 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.84 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.15 (no red card)

Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.76 (no red card)

Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.5 (no red card)

Df Carl Berg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.78 (no red card)

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.0 (no red card)

Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.86 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.53 (no red card)

Fw Erling Hauge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.04 (no red card)

Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.29 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.0 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.53 (no red card)

Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.78 (no red card)

Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.01 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.16 (no red card)

Df George Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.76 (no red card)

Mf William Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.34 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.96 (no red card)

Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.78 (no red card)

Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.04 (no red card)

Fw Steven Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.44 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.04 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.58 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.95 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.3 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.05 (no injury) 
Df Carl Berg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.27 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.69 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.23 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Marco Vedder is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Marco Vedder new match skill level =  6
      Marco Vedder new match total level =  6
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.52 (no injury) 
Fw Erling Hauge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.11 (no injury) 
Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.74 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.93 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 70.86 (no injury) 
Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.36 (no injury) 
Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.63 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.65 (no injury) 
Df George Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.07 (no injury) 
Mf William Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.18 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.21 (no injury) 
Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.19 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.58 (no injury) 
Fw Steven Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.01 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.35 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fernando Neves SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Hugo Martins SL 11

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Guerrero SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Harrison Holland SL 6

     intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       8  15  42  21  53
  Swansea City AFC         11   9  26  34  37

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 27 (53 - 26); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 2 ((42 - 37) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Df Jacob Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Jacob Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 0.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 65.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 95.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 74.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 88.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 27.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 7.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 76.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         11   9  26  34  37
  Crewe Alexandra FC       8  15  42  21  53

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 42)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 7 ((34 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Jonas Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 0.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Jonas Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Jonas Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 97.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 5  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 1
 
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