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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Southend United
Dave Dowson
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kian Trickelbank       13    2   15     Gk Harrison Bennett       11    2   13
Sw Finlay Harvey          15    2   17     Sw Noe Morice             11    1   12
Df Harley Stephenson      15    2   17     Df Edward Sansom           9    2   11
Df Michele Testa          10    2   12     Df Harvey Richman          8    2   10
Df Harrison Porter         7    2    9     Df Daniel Morris           6    2    8
Df Fernando Lebre          3    2    5     Df Gabriele Esposito       3    2    5
Mf Carleton Thomas        11    2   13     Mf Dominic Knight         11    1   12
Mf Sveinur Laursen         3    2    5     Mf Giorgio Valentini       6    2    8
Fw Finlay Bennett         13    2   15     Fw Simon Forsberg         12    1   13
Fw Jules Baudet            7    2    9     Fw Fionn Johnston         11    2   13
Fw Amine Lhomme            3    2    5     Fw Filippo Costa           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 17 43 18 29        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 34 20 34    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  5  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 17 43 18 38         T O T A L S       13 12 34 25 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 74.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 71.29 (no red card)

Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 73.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 99.76 (no red card)

Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 13.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 35.33 (no red card)

Df Michele Testa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 74.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 45.71 (no red card)

Df Harrison Porter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 45.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 71.83 (no red card)

Df Fernando Lebre: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 38.84 (no red card)

Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 88.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 99.56 (no red card)

Mf Sveinur Laursen: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 99.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 17.34 (no red card)

Fw Finlay Bennett: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 6.21 (no second yellow)

Fw Jules Baudet: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 60.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 13.27 (no red card)

Fw Amine Lhomme: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 99.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 51.07 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Harrison Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.61 (no red card)

Sw Noe Morice: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 99.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 37.89 (no red card)

Df Edward Sansom: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 65.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 6.78 (no red card)

Df Harvey Richman: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 58.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 53.28 (no red card)

Df Daniel Morris: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 75.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 43.8 (no red card)

Df Gabriele Esposito: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 62.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 77.18 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Knight: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 55.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 3.44 (no red card)

Mf Giorgio Valentini: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 80.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 62.63 (no red card)

Fw Simon Forsberg: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 36.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 10.31 (no red card)

Fw Fionn Johnston: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 11.58 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 33.16 (no second yellow)

Fw Filippo Costa: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 38.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 79.83 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.25%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.59 (no injury) 
Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 90.05 (no injury) 
Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 60.06 (no injury) 
Df Michele Testa: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 73.13 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Porter: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 7.65 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Lebre: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 87.12 (no injury) 
Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 50.73 (no injury) 
Mf Sveinur Laursen: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 37.09 (no injury) 
Fw Finlay Bennett: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 90.53 (no injury) 
Fw Jules Baudet: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 71.32 (no injury) 
Fw Amine Lhomme: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 89.77 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Harrison Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 61.1 (no injury) 
Sw Noe Morice: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 42.79 (no injury) 
Df Edward Sansom: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 79.13 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Richman: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 30.85 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Morris: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 47.17 (no injury) 
Df Gabriele Esposito: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 31.56 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Knight: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 71.62 (no injury) 
Mf Giorgio Valentini: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 67.88 (no injury) 
Fw Simon Forsberg: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 32.86 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Johnston: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 64.41 (no injury) 
Fw Filippo Costa: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 96.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Harley Stephenson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Harrison Bennett SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 15 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Forsberg SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16  17  43  18  38
  Southend United          13  12  34  25  34

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 4 (38 - 34); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((43 - 34) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 60.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Michele Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Finlay Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Finlay Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jules Baudet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 57.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Jules Baudet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          13  12  34  25  34
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16  17  43  18  38

Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 43)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 4 ((25 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Giorgio Valentini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Giorgio Valentini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 35.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Giorgio Valentini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Giorgio Valentini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 96.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
the team are battening down the hatches for a potential bruising encounter!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 08/25 - 2:48 PM
the away dressing room is being painted a nice shade of pink before the game. Apparently it gives the opposing players a sense of warmth and comforting childhood memories and makes them less aggressive.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 08/25 - 2:53 PM
 
 
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