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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Southend United
Dave Dowson
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Noah Godart            13    0   13     Gk Calum Hughes           12    2   14
Df Oliver Hills           13    1   14     Sw John Dunn              11    1   12
Df Matteo Maggioni         6    2    8     Df Reis  Golan             6    2    8
Df Joseph Carpenter        3    2    5     Df Geoffrey Jackson        6    2    8
Mf Joe Hopkins            10    1   11     Df Daniel Morris           3    2    5
Mf Daniel Martins         10    2   12     Mf Henry Cockayne          7    2    9
Mf Noah Vogel             10    2   12     Mf Dennis Cox              6    2    8
Mf Alistair Barnes         6    2    8     Mf Giorgio Valentini       3    2    5
Fw Daniel Yitzchak        13    0   13     Fw David Campbell         12    1   13
Fw Lennon Stewart         11    1   12     Fw Jack Harrison          11    1   12
Fw Mason Singh             3    2    5     Fw Filippo Costa           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  0 27 43 30        ROSTER TOTALS      14 12 21 22 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          5  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 27 52 30         T O T A L S       19 12 21 22 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Noah Godart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.14 (no red card)

Df Oliver Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.69 (no red card)

Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.84 (no red card)

Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.91 (no red card)

Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.5 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Martins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.04 (no red card)

Mf Noah Vogel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.8 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.07 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.68 (no red card)

Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.04 (no red card)

Fw Mason Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.99 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 5

Gk Calum Hughes: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 15.62 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.625% | Random number = 17.07 (no second yellow)

Sw John Dunn: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 74.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 91.44 (no red card)

Df Reis  Golan: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 89.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 73.53 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Jackson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 96.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 47.7 (no red card)

Df Daniel Morris: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 50.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 81.34 (no red card)

Mf Henry Cockayne: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 8.98 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 80.36 (no second yellow)

Mf Dennis Cox: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 76.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 85.42 (no red card)

Mf Giorgio Valentini: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 97.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 79.94 (no red card)

Fw David Campbell: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 69.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 99.78 (no red card)

Fw Jack Harrison: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 73.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 26.56 (no red card)

Fw Filippo Costa: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 19.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 69.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Noah Godart: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 59.26 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Hills: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 8.97 (no injury) 
Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 64.94 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 73.75 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 0.88 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Joe Hopkins is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Daniel Martins: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 42.43 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Vogel: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 5.52 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Noah Vogel is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Noah Vogel new match skill level =  5
      Noah Vogel new match total level =  7
Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 96.43 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 50.18 (no injury) 
Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 22.93 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Singh: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 74.51 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Calum Hughes: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 32.64 (no injury) 
Sw John Dunn: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 42.62 (no injury) 
Df Reis  Golan: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 77.94 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 7.04 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Morris: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 42.87 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Cockayne: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 85.3 (no injury) 
Mf Dennis Cox: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 76.32 (no injury) 
Mf Giorgio Valentini: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 53.61 (no injury) 
Fw David Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 65.53 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Harrison: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 77.81 (no injury) 
Fw Filippo Costa: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 82.54 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Oliver Hills SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Calum Hughes SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 57 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: David Campbell SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Noah Godart SL 13

     intRndPk = 60
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          13   0  27  47  30
  Southend United          19  12  21  22  30

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 9 (30 - 21); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 13 ((47 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 30) / 5;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Mf Daniel Martins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Daniel Martins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 90.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Daniel Martins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Daniel Martins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Noah Vogel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 62.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 92.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Mason Singh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 33.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Mason Singh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          19  12  21  22  30
  Bristol City FC          13   0  27  47  30

Bristol City FC is using Offside Trap!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 2 (30 - 27) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 21.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 4.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 3  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Home game. Three points or else.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 04/11 - 4:43 AM
Good win. Bad injuries.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 04/14 - 7:19 PM
 
 
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