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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Juan Jose Blanco       13    1   14     Gk Kian Trickelbank       12    0   12
Sw Andrés Cordoba         14    2   16     Sw Caleb McLachlan        10    0   10
Df Aaron Sutherland       12    1   13     Df Fernando Lebre          8    1    9
Df Nikolai Kuznetsov      11    0   11     Df Laurence Flinders       6    2    8
Df Bailey Khan             6    2    8     Df Itzhak  Chen            6    2    8
Mf Theo Barry             10    1   11     Df Natan Ayalon            2    2    4
Mf Louie Cook              9    0    9     Mf Jayden Brown            6    2    8
Fw Youssef Cherkaoui      14    1   15     Mf Andy Phillips           2    2    4
Fw Euan McIntosh          13    1   14     Fw Morgan Green            6    2    8
Fw Shaun Davidson         10    1   11     Fw George Durman           2    2    4
Fw Coll Campbell           6    2    8     Fw Laurence Francis        2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 16 32 20 48        ROSTER TOTALS      12 10 29 12 16    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          5  0  2  3  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 16 32 20 57         T O T A L S       17 10 38 15 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Juan Jose Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.36 (no red card)

Sw Andrés Cordoba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.57 (no red card)

Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.89 (no red card)

Df Nikolai Kuznetsov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.88 (no red card)

Df Bailey Khan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.44 (no red card)

Mf Theo Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.3 (no red card)

Mf Louie Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.15 (no red card)

Fw Youssef Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.59 (no red card)

Fw Euan McIntosh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.32 (no red card)

Fw Shaun Davidson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.7 (no red card)

Fw Coll Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.76 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 5

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 91.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.625% | Random number = 61.47 (no red card)

Sw Caleb McLachlan: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 10.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.28 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      Caleb McLachlan new match skill level =  5
      Caleb McLachlan new match total level =  5

Df Fernando Lebre: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 89.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 8.09 (no red card)

Df Laurence Flinders: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 90.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 84.68 (no red card)

Df Itzhak  Chen: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 57.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 2.08 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Itzhak  Chen new match skill level =  3
      Itzhak  Chen new match total level =  5

Df Natan Ayalon: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 1.0 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.51 (no second yellow)

Mf Jayden Brown: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 68.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 1.83 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Jayden Brown new match skill level =  3
      Jayden Brown new match total level =  5

Mf Andy Phillips: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 61.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 6.99 (no red card)

Fw Morgan Green: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 43.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 93.76 (no red card)

Fw George Durman: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 11.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.06 (no second yellow)

Fw Laurence Francis: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 97.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 47.68 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Juan Jose Blanco: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 53.63 (no injury) 
Sw Andrés Cordoba: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 18.79 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 87.06 (no injury) 
Df Nikolai Kuznetsov: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 94.46 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Khan: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 10.47 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Barry: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 87.33 (no injury) 
Mf Louie Cook: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 78.03 (no injury) 
Fw Youssef Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 72.69 (no injury) 
Fw Euan McIntosh: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 64.05 (no injury) 
Fw Shaun Davidson: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 65.1 (no injury) 
Fw Coll Campbell: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 42.51 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.62 (no injury) 
Sw Caleb McLachlan: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 28.33 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Lebre: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 76.96 (no injury) 
Df Laurence Flinders: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 56.27 (no injury) 
Df Itzhak  Chen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 42.02 (no injury) 
Df Natan Ayalon: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 9.13 (no injury) 
Mf Jayden Brown: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 32.56 (no injury) 
Mf Andy Phillips: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 35.5 (no injury) 
Fw Morgan Green: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 17.48 (no injury) 
Fw George Durman: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 54.12 (no injury) 
Fw Laurence Francis: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 62.88 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Youssef Cherkaoui SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 26 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fernando Lebre SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Juan Jose Blanco SL 13

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     14  16  32  20  57
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    17   5  35  12  16

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 22 (57 - 35); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((20 - 12) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 6 ((32 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Df Nikolai Kuznetsov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 2.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Aaron Sutherland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Aaron Sutherland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Aaron Sutherland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Nikolai Kuznetsov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Nikolai Kuznetsov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 41 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Theo Barry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Theo Barry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Theo Barry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Theo Barry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Coll Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Shaun Davidson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 13.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Shaun Davidson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Euan McIntosh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 14.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Youssef Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Coll Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Youssef Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Shaun Davidson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Coll Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Coll Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Shaun Davidson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Shaun Davidson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Youssef Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Youssef Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Youssef Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Youssef Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Youssef Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Coll Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 93.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
29: Attack for Fw Youssef Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Youssef Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Youssef Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Youssef Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    17   5  35  12  16
  Preston North End FC     14  16  32  20  57

Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 32)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((12 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 6  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
 
Match Notes
i had my doubts about this tactic and they have been proved right.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/15 - 8:44 PM
 
 
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