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In OLMEC We Trust, (Who's Afraid of the Random# Generator)?
Posted by Rob Baptiste on Tuesday, Aug. 7th, 2012 at 5:24 AM

his is probably just another "Woe is me.  I've lost another match." rant but I wanted to discuss the fairness of, or lackthereof, the random number generation for Off Target shots.  I am wondering if the values/percentages for shots off target needs to be tweaked.  I have noticed some games where it seems as though the "rich get richer".  I do not have the numbers to begin a conversation on how the numbers are "unfair" at times but have noticed streakiness for the on target.... too tired to go on about this.  Basically, is it a fair system?  Should it be 35% for all players? all teams?  all situations?  Maybe this is a value that can be altered when a big Fw line + Sw is played against you?

Readers Comments

I now have had at least 4 matches in my career where the opponent gave up a Pk chance (and goal) where they played 0 hardness and I have played 7 or higher (think every time I played 10).  Maybe if the team playing 10 hardness gets away with no Pk's, that should be it and it shouldn't even perform a calculation for the opponent.  

Rob Baptiste on Sunday, Sep. 2nd, 2012 at 6:54 AM
 

I think Al's going to come in here and say the anti-Rob code is working as it should. Just a hunch, though.

John Holden on Sunday, Sep. 2nd, 2012 at 12:23 PM
 

:-)  Nice one John.   Actually there is no anti-Comrade Rob code and its become clear the anti-Dave Dohm code is just too buggy.

I hear the comments on this topic.  Its funny too that I can only remember the times I played 0 for hrd and gave up a goal.  I can't remember the times I was the beneficiary, but I'm sure I was.  :-)

There's probably some stats out there I can grab to see what the trends are here but agree that its painful to give up that goal with one 5% chance while the other team's 10, 10% chances go unpunished.  

I'm definitely open to conversation on the above.   Such as is the risk/reward out of balance?  Are teams playing 10 hrd not punished enough in a match (red cards/pks awarded)?

Allan Sellers on Sunday, Sep. 2nd, 2012 at 12:53 PM
 
 
 
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